SOURCE:
(A) Jomini of the West
(B) https://twitter.com/JominiW
INDEX
( ) ORBAT : https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/section-2-revised-23-mar-2022-orbat.html
(1) HOT ENGAGEMENTS: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/list-of-military-engagements-during.html
( ) TIME LINE : https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/a-timeline-of-2022-russian-invasion-of.html
( ) MAR 25: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/march-25-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) MAR 27: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/march-27-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) MAR 28: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/source-b-c-index-1-httpsbcvasundhra.html
( ) MAR 29: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/march-29-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) MAR 30: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/march-30-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) MAR 31: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/march-31-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) APR 01 : https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/april-o1-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) APR 02 : https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/april-o2-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) APR 03 : https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/blog-post.html
( ) APR 04 : https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/april-o4-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) APR 05 : https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/april-o5-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( )APR 06 : (i) https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/april-o6-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) APR 06: (ii) https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/situation-on-06-apr-2022-on-ukrainian.html
( ) APR 07: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/april-o7-assessment-russian-offensive.html
( ) APR 08: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/file-attachments.html
( ) APR 10: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/source-b-c-d-graphic-presentation.html
( ) APR 11: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/apr-11-2022-surmising-revised-russian.html
( ) APR 12: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/assessment-russian-offensive-campaign.html
( ) APR 13: https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/04/assessment-russian-offensive-campaign_13.html
GRAPHICAL MAP PRESENTATION
SITUATION ON 06 APR 2022 ON
UKRAINIAN THEATER OF WAR
By
Jomini of the West @JominiW
1/ Ukrainian Theater of War, Day 41
1/ Ukrainian Theater of War, Day 41: The past 24 hours saw Russian forces continue to retreat from the Sumy oblast, although a small portion maintains a token Russian force. Redeployment of units from Kyiv & Sumy to Izium continues. #UkraineWar #RussianUkrainianWar #Ukraine
2/ Humanitarian Impact. Ukrainian refugees near 6 million, with over 6.6 million IDPs throughout Ukraine. The UN Human Rights Office now states Russian forces directly & killed civilians in Bucha. Russian forces continue to block access to Mariupol.
Russia-Ukraine latest news: Moscow blocking access to Mariupol so it can 'clean up' war crimes, says Volodymyr Zelensky dlvr.it/SN2l0T #structurenewsworldnews #topicsplacesrussia #structurenews
3/ Weather assessment. The Donbas region will experience extended periods of cloud cover and rain during the early part of next week (11-13 Apr). These conditions and varying wind speed will hamper the accuracy of air & artillery strikes for VKS & UAF.
4/ Kharkiv-Donbas Strategic Front. Russian forces continue small-scale offensive action SW of Izium and in the Sievierodonetsk salient. Separatist forces are still attempting to breakthrough Ukrainian defenses along the LOC. Mariupol has yet to fall to Russian forces. #Donbas
5/ Russian force buildup. The Russian military has begun to concentrate redeployed forces from the Sumy & Kyiv-Chernihiv Strategic Fronts to the region between Balakilisk and Izium. These units most likely are the best capable to come from these former fronts.
6/ It is likely these units have probably been filled with cannibalized personnel and equipment from units deemed too damaged to function effectively, though this assessment is highly speculative
7/ Donets River Line. Russian & Separatist forces have not made any meaningful gains in the Sievierodonetsk Salient for the past several days. Russian forces will undoubtedly advance on Sloviansk, this may not be the main effort of a renewed offensive.
8/ Russian forces may instead advance further to the west and south to create a large cauldron to be reduced by artillery and airstrikes. Given the high losses sustained by Russian forces throughout the UTW, this seems like the logical operational approach.
9/ Aerospace Assessment. VKS continues to steadily increase air sorties in east and south Ukraine. Priority of missions seem to be in Mariupol & in the Sievierodonetsk Salient. Pressure is maintained against Kharkiv through air & artillery strikes.