Monday, November 20, 2017

DEGRADTION OF ARMED FORCES TENDS TO ABSOLUTE 273 Degrees Celsius?

SOURCE: 
VIA EMAIL


     DEGRADTION OF ARMED FORCES 

                TENDS TO ABSOLUTE 


               273 Degrees Celsius?






        In Defence of Defence Forces
                    By 
              Manoj Asthana

'Rail, Road ,Sea or Air~Indian Army Every Where'. 

                      TO THIS





This proverbial National saying was suitably amended on 15 August 2016, as during the speech from the precincts of the Red Fort, the Pradhan Mantri complimented the Police for their distinguished services in Nabh ,Jal, and Thal. 

It is late in life to know that there is
another three dimensional service namely the police force which operates in Sea and Air as well,besides their praiseworthy performance on terra firma.


Not that the Nation forgot the services of the Forces, abundant kudos were showered during the International Yoga Day where the acumen of the forces was amply displayed and appreciated while laying out the Yoga Mats.


And of course, while building the Army Bridges with Sri Sri Ravishankar while he went on to defy the National Green Tribunal with his disarming smile.

Some day Army shall head cleaning the Ganga and Jamuna projects as well ,since they are already making rapid progress in that direction.

In the efforts of popularising the Army ,the bar was raised and the Army travelled deep inside bore well pits to take out little Ram Rahim and Rambos ,who were left to explore unfathomable depths due to public and civil administration apathy.

Having done the job well,
they attained the exclusive rights to all bore well misadventures across the Country.

The exclusive preserve of the Army~flood and Disaster Relief ,progressed satisfactorily while the National Disaster Relief Team commented from their air conditioned offices as to how well they could have tackled the situation better .

Well done indeed.

But then who was scaling up the security issues while the Army dabbled in Yoga, Ravishankar, Kumbh Melas, Bore wells ,Earthquakes and Floods.

The Police of course .

When the attack on Airforce Pathankot happened the NSG rappled down like Spidermen and launched Operations while the Military looked on curiously.

The National Security Advisor was conducting the Operations from nearby Delhi,like all Chocolate Commanders do.

After a heavy casualty suffered by the AF,Army and theDSSC.,the operation was declared a thundering success amidst serious chest thumping by the self styled Romells from NSG.

In the interim,the scribes were really not sitting idle,they broadcasted how lucky we were that the terrorists spared the Ammunition dump close by.
 
Paki militants though refused to take the suggestive disclosures so helpfully offered by our scribes ,dumb lot really.

The Police was invading the Army territories rapidly while the Army started excelling in J&K ,where
stone throwers had a field day with the Defence Forces.

While the Army at the line of control took some effective measures ,the Commanders came up on TV and apologised for the wrong doings of the troops,The troops were severely admonished and warned by their mighty Commanders for doing their job.

'zero error syndrome ' was universally effected on the Line Of Control. Next time the enemy makes an ingress a petrified lot awaits them.

The disillusioned troops look towards their Commanders ,who look at their Commanders and political masters ,who look the other way.

The NSA seems to be running the Military Operations in place of the Director Military Operations.

The Government which came to power with thunderous applause from the Ex Servicemen, turned in a avatar not seen earlier.After having granted OROP in ESM rallies,they announced that OROP would not be granted to the Voluntary Retirement Scheme ( VRS) personnel.

Those who were always found wanting in Military History lessons were elated ,as they never knew that VRS was ever applicable to the Defence Forces!!!

But then the Defence Minister knows best.

Why question a wise Minister.

'Yes Minister' revisited on National Television

Amidst the kaleidoscopic wide spectrum targeting the Military,one effort which remained constant with the change of the successive Governments ,was

       the slow yet steady degradation 

                  of 

            the Military Potential.

The Police was seen as the better alternative for            matters Military .Churchill's saying that

'War is too serious a business to be left to Generals' 

        was taken too literally by our polity.

During the partition,Nehru had felt that 
the Army needs to be replaced by the Police
as keeping a standing Army was felt unnecessary .


He had more faith in his slick abilities to handle the Chinese and was too sure of his brethren from across the Western borders.


A short tempered and highly conceited Nehru had to be convinced that securing the Nations aspirations was serious business and that
involved strategy a little more complex than lighting Edwina Mountbatten's                      cigarettes.


Finally he did meet his Waterloo when along with his Defence Minister Krishna Menon he displayed his naivety and inept handling during the Sino conflict.

The Nation suffered humiliating reverses which would haunt the Indian Army's reputation for decades to come.


The degradation of Indian War potential had commenced
at the hands of inept politicians.

The 1965 war culminated in India landing on the negotiating table in Tashkent with Russian PM Kosygin and Pak President Ayub Khan. Lal Bahadur Shastri was arm twisted in to returning back the territory so bravely seized by the Army.

The Military gains were frittered away without any returns.

There is a famous saying in the Military.
 
If you do not learn from the mistakes from your military history,you shall be obligated to repeat the same.

And repeat we did.

In 1971 despite such a huge decisive victory we returned over
1 Lac surrendered troops without any negotiations favouring our military advantage.

The Shimla agreement that we did ,left Siachen uncovered and we still inflict severe drain on our economy and resources since 1984 due to that.

The huge military victory in 1971 was suitably rewarded by the Government ,by applying substantial decrease in the pension of the Military ,which post 1971 war was scaled down from then existing 70 % to amended 50%.

We must be the only Nation in the World where such
a decisive victory by our Military was rewarded so magnanimously.


Needless to say our Military Commanders did nothing or even if they did behind the scenes,were given a shut up call.

A new trend was put in place of sending consenting Generals on Ambassodorial assignment to Countries where no IFS ever wanted to go. 

This found great favour with the aspirations of the Spent Force Generals and is one of the most effective carrot the Government has ever grown in their Military Dumpyard....or hung before the Military Horse Power.


In Indian Polity the era changes ,the naivety does not.


                The new buzzword was
                    FIT
              as in Future Indefinate Tense. 

Rajiv Gandhi arrived on the political canvas with a futuristic vision ,
literally~~
Desh ko Banana Hai, A Banana Republic                      !!!

We continued to use our Armed Forces as human cannon fodder.
The IPKF was rushed into the tear drop of India,namely Srilanka,to do what ?
               No one knows !!

All one knew in IPKF was ,that fire power was not to be used and fighting was to be done with an arm tied behind the back. the Nation lost many gallant young men ,due to the skewed policy of not using firepower in an extremely hostile and violent environment.

The new strategy of fighting with one arm tied behind the back is being propogated while handling insurgency in Kashmir as well.

The role reversal is now complete,and while the Army suffers huge reputational setback and man power losses,
the Police provides expert comments as to how well they would have performed.

J&K is an open humiliating ground for the Forces.


From a Police Constable,to Mehbooba Mufti, The Abdullahs ,Ministers,Political Observers,UN Observers,and even the Congress, everyone has a sermon for the Army


What no one has an answer to is, what is the Army doing in a civil area which is essentially the preserve of the Police.

The degradation of the Military potential is now complete
with the current government putting the Forces in its place,which as per them is at the rock bottom after the CRPF, Police, NSG,and even the BSF, with their officers being put in Class one services.

May be the Defence Forces can now safely be considered an option slightly superior to private security companies.


Very fine Defence Forces of India are now a subject of TV debates by Urban Goswamis,and Bhakra Dutts.


The Forces even draw adverse comments from the likes of Comrade Kanhaiya Kumar and national commentator Shobha Dey, whenever she manages to find time from other controversies or social Chit chats.

Every right thinking Indian needs to know this story and stand in Defence of the Defence Forces ,as we seem to have finally
               Snatched Defeat 
                  From 
          The Jaws Of Victory.
















Sunday, November 19, 2017

The Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Arms Race (r)

SOURCE:
http://www.eurasiareview.com/10052016-the-hypersonic-glide-vehicle-arms-race-analysis/




North Korea WARNING: New HYPERSONIC missile technology could spark global warfare




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOoAJmAMbKQ  ]






America's Hypersonic Technology l WORLD'S MOST EXPENSIVE TECHNOLOGY ALL THE TIME






https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcjphLQmfU0  ]















The Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Arms Race

                         – Analysis

                                      By 

                       Debalina Ghoshal*





Within the scope of Project 4202, Russia conducted a flight test of its Yu-71 hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) with a speed of 11,200km/hour in June 2015. This HGV which Russia has been working on for a while now to enable its ballistic missiles to evade U.S. missile defence systems, is reported to be highly maneuverable. Reports confirm that Russia will deploy twenty four such systems between 2020 and 2025. Reports suggest that the hypersonic vehicle could be fitted on Russia’s new liquid fuelled Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). Russia is the third country to venture into such hypersonic vehicles along the United States and China.
Technically, an HGV is called a “glide vehicle” as its rocket component separates from the HGV and allows the HGV to fly unpowered to the target. These vehicles can also perform aerodynamic lifts, gliding to transit into a non-ballistic trajectory from a ballistic trajectory. HGVs possess unpredictable maneuverability, however, excessive maneuverability could adversely affect the range of the vehicles.

The United States has already ventured into research on the Hypersonic Technology Vehicle (HTV). This would be a component of its Conventional Prompt Global Strike (CPGS) strategy. Under this strategy, the United States plans to develop a family of conventional weapon systems that could reach any part of the world in less than sixty minutes. China on the other hand, is developing an HGV called the Wu-14, also known as the DF-ZF, which can be mounted atop its ballistic missiles. 

This is not surprising as Beijing also desires a global strike system. Reportedly, these HGVs would enable ballistic missiles to evade enemy missile defence systems while also providing a considerable boost to the range of the ballistic missiles.

Both China and Russia have vehemently opposed the U.S. Ballistic Missile Defence (BMD) system, not just in U.S. territory but also in its forward bases abroad.


Both Beijing and Moscow believe that the U.S. BMD system could threaten regional peace and stability and adversely affect China and Moscow’s nuclear deterrent capability.

However, the Russian and Chinese HGVs would differ from those of the U.S. as Russian and Chinese HGVs could be fitted with nuclear warheads whereas the U.S.’s HTVs would be fitted with conventional warheads. The United States is also reported to be developing an Advanced Hypersonic Weapon (AHW), but with a shorter range than the HTVs.

There are three reasons for Russia and China to develop such weapon systems.
       Firstly, the Russians have been apprehensive of the U.S. missile defence system in Europe and Asia, the European Phased Adaptive Approach (EPAA) and Asian Phased Adaptive Approach (APAA) respectively. 

                   Beijing too has been apprehensive of the APAA and opposed the deployment of the U.S.’s missile defence systems in the region. In fact, states like South Korea and Taiwan have delayed their decision to deploy the U.S. Theatre High Altitude Air Defence (THAAD) systems within their territories as they do not wish to agitate China. The Russians believe that such defence systems are potentially a component of an offensive strategy and capable of negating Russia’s nuclear deterrent capability. It was hence obvious that the Russian HGV would be nuclear capable in order to strengthen its nuclear deterrent amid rising U.S. defences. This is because Moscow at present is modernising both its offensive and defensive capabilities. 

Developing sophisticated counter measures to mollify U.S. missile defence systems is crucial for Russia in terms of strengthening its nuclear deterrent vis-à-vis the United States.

Secondly, the U.S. PGS strategy has prompted Russia and China to develop their own global strike systems with precision strike capabilities, of which hypersonic weapons are an integral component. 
              Russia is also cooperating with India to develop a hypersonic version of the BrahMos cruise missile.
                In addition, reports suggest that Russia is working on hypersonic anti-ship missiles called “Zircons” and that Russian strategic bombers are to carry hypersonic cruise missiles.

    Third, Russia is undergoing a modernisation of its nuclear forces in order to maintain the stability/instability paradox vis-à-vis the United States. China’s effort to achieve a ‘limited nuclear deterrent capability’ also calls for the modernisation of its nuclear forces. Beijing’s 2015 Military Strategy stresses the policy of ‘no-first use’, and the need to prepare a counter-attack strategy. For such a strategy to be carried out and to be able to successfully abide by its ‘no-first use’ policy, Beijing would need credible weapon systems that could negate enemy missile defence systems.
    In 2014, a Russian general, Yury Yakubov had also called for the option of adopting a pre-emptive strike in its military doctrine.

This harkens back to 2012 when Russia had threatened to reserve the right to launch a pre-emptive strike to negate U.S. missile defences if need be. 

Though the plan never fructified, yet should Moscow decide in the future to adopt a policy of pre-emptive strike, capabilities such as those embodied in HGVs that would mollify enemy missile defences would be crucial in facilitating the ability to launch devastating first strikes. Such capabilities, therefore, would enhance Russia’s potential pre-emption capability while also strengthening its ability to retaliate against an enemy attack.
There are implications though. If the HGV is fitted with a Russian Short Range Ballistic Missiles (SRBMs), for instance the Iskander class SRBMs, it could provide the missiles with an increased range. 

Such a move then could become complicated. 

For instance, the Iskanders have a maximum range of 400kms and with the HGVs, their range could be increased to more than 500kms that could be a violation the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF). The INF Treaty prohibits Russia and the United States to develop ground launched cruise and ballistic missiles of range 500-5500kms.

Conclusion

Russia, the United States, and China are continuously working on weapon systems that are swift and easily able to reach targets; and HGVs are only one such effort. Such systems are only making the hypersonic arms race more complicated while also raises the cost of defence by denial.
*Debalina Ghoshal, Research Associate, Delhi Policy Group