Wednesday, March 16, 2022

MAR 15: TIMELINE - 2022 RUSSIAN INVASION OF UKRAINE [ updated till 15 march 2022]


SOURCE:  

(A)  TIMELINE 2022: -    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine 

( X ) ORBITS  WORLD BATTLES : htps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Orders_of_battle  

(C)   ORBAT    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Order_of_battle_for_the_2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine 


INDEX 

(a)  TIME LINE  :   https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/a-timeline-of-2022-russian-invasion-of.html

(bANIMATED TIME LINE:   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2022_Russian_Invasion_of_Ukraine_animated.gif  

( c ) ORBAT :   

       https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2022/03/orbat-order-of-battle-for-2022-russian.html




                                      

     TIMELINE -  2022  RUSSIAN INVASION  OF  UKRAINE      

                     ( From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia )



                                  Animated map of the invasion 

                     (for a more detailed, interactive map, see here)








   
                                                                               




Background

On 24 February, Russia launched a comprehensive invasion of Ukraine, marking a major escalation of the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War. The campaign had been preceded by a prolonged Russian military buildup (since early 2021), as well as numerous Russian demands for security measures and legal prohibitions against Ukraine joining NATO.[1]


Prelude

On 10 November 2021, the United States reported an unusual movement of Russian troops near the borders of Ukraine.[2] By 28 November, Ukraine reported a build-up of 92,000 Russian troops.

  • On 7 December 2021, US President Joe Biden warned President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, of "strong economic and other measures" if Russia attacks Ukraine.
  • On 17 December 2021, Putin proposed limits on NATO's activities in eastern Europe, such as a prohibition on Ukraine ever joining NATO, which are rejected.
  • On 17 January 2022, Russian troops began arriving in Russia's ally Belarus for military exercises.
  • On 19 January 2022, the US gave Ukraine $200 million in security aid.
  • On 19 January 2022, US President Joe Biden stated during a press conference that "And so, I think what you're going to see is that Russia will be held accountable if it invades. And it depends on what it does. It's one thing if it's a minor incursion and then we end up having a fight about what to do and not do, et cetera." Many critics of the US president felt this was leaving the door open for President of Russia Vladimir Putin to invade.[3]
  • On 24 January 2022, NATO put troops on standby.
  • On 25 January 2022, Russian exercises involving 6,000 troops and 60 jets took place in Russia near Ukraine and Crimea.
  • On 10 February 2022, Russia and Belarus began 10 days of military maneuvers.
  • On 17 February 2022, fighting escalated in separatist regions of eastern Ukraine.


February 2022

21 February

At 22:35 (UTC+3),[4] Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that Russia recognizes the independence of two pro-Russian breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine.[5] This leads to a first round of economic sanctions from NATO countries the following day.

24 February


Structure in Kyiv hit by a missile fragment, 24 February
Russian anti-tank team operates a Konkurs ATGM near Hostomel Airport


Shortly before 06:00 Moscow Time (UTC+3) on 24 February, Putin announced that he had made the decision to launch a "special military operation" in eastern Ukraine.[6][7] In his address, Putin claimed there were no plans to occupy Ukrainian territory and that he supported the right of the peoples of Ukraine to self-determination.[8] Putin also stated that Russia sought the "demilitarisation and denazification" of Ukraine.[9][10] He said that "all responsibility for possible bloodshed will be entirely on the conscience of the regime ruling on the territory of Ukraine."[11] The Russian Ministry of Defence asked air traffic control units of Ukraine to stop flights, and the airspace over Ukraine was restricted to non-civilian air traffic, and the whole area was deemed an active conflict zone by the European Union Aviation Safety Agency.[12][13]


Within minutes of Putin's announcement, explosions were reported in KyivKharkivOdessa, and the Donbas.[14] Ukrainian officials said that Russian troops had landed in Mariupol and Odessa, and had launched cruise and ballistic missiles at airfields, military headquarters, and military depots in Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Dnipro.[15][16][17] Military vehicles entered Ukraine through Senkivka, at the point where Ukraine meets Belarus and Russia, at around 6:48 am local time.[18] A video captured Russian troops entering Ukraine from Russian-annexed Crimea.[19][20]


The Kremlin planned to initially target artillery and missiles at command and control centres and then send fighter jets and helicopters to quickly gain air superiority.[21] The Center for Naval Analyses said that Russia would create a pincer movement to encircle Kyiv and envelop Ukraine's forces in the east, with the Center for Strategic and International Studies identifying three axes of advance: from Belarus in the north, from Donetsk, and from Crimea in the south.[21] The US said it believed that Russia intended to "decapitate" Ukraine's government and install their own,[22] with US intelligence officials believing that Kyiv would fall within 96 hours given circumstances on the ground.[23]


According to former Ukrainian Deputy Minister of Internal affairsAnton Herashchenko, now serving as an official government advisor, just after 06:30 (UTC+2), Russian forces were invading via land near the city of Kharkiv[24] and large-scale amphibious landings were reported in the city of Mariupol.[25][26][27] At 07:40, troops were also entering the country from Belarusian territory.[28] The Ukrainian Border Force reported attacks on sites in Luhansk OblastSumy OblastKharkiv OblastChernihiv Oblast, and Zhytomyr Oblast, as well as from Crimea.[29] The Ukrainian interior ministry reported that Russian forces captured the villages of Horodyshche and Milove in Luhansk.[25] The Ukrainian Centre for Strategic Communication reported that the Ukrainian army repelled an attack near Shchastia (near Luhansk) and retook control of the town, claiming nearly 50 casualties from the Russian side.[30]


Shortly before 07:00 (UTC+2), Zelenskyy announced the introduction of martial law in Ukraine.[31] Zelenskyy also announced that Russia–Ukraine relations were being severed, effective immediately.[32] Russian missiles targeted Ukrainian infrastructure, including Boryspil International Airport, Ukraine's largest airport, 29 km (18 mi) east of Kyiv.[33]

File:VOA video of Eastern Ukraine during 2022 Russian invasion.webm
Scenes in eastern Ukraine during the invasion

At 10:00 (UTC+2), it was reported during the briefing of the Ukrainian presidential administration that Russian troops had invaded Ukraine from the north (up to 5 kilometres (3.1 mi) south of the border). Russian troops were said to be active in Kharkiv Oblast, in Chernihiv Oblast, and near Sumy.[34] Zelenskyy's press service also reported that Ukraine had repulsed an attack in Volyn Oblast.[35] At 10:30 (UTC+2), the Ukrainian Defence Ministry reported that Russian troops in Chernihiv Oblast had been stopped, a major battle near Kharkiv was in progress, and Mariupol and Shchastia had been fully reclaimed.[36]


In the Battle of Antonov Airport, Russian airborne troops seized the Hostomel Airport in Hostomel, a suburb of Kyiv, after being transported by helicopters early in the morning; a Ukrainian counteroffensive to recapture the airport was launched later in the day.[37][38] The Rapid Response Brigade of the Ukrainian National Guard stated that it had fought at the airfield, shooting down three of 34 Russian helicopters.[39]


Because Belarus allowed Russian troops to invade Ukraine from the north, at 11:00 (UTC+2), Ukrainian border guards reported a border breach in Vilcha (Kyiv Oblast), and border guards in Zhytomyr Oblast were bombarded by Russian rocket launchers (presumably BM-21 Grad).[40] A helicopter without markings reportedly bombed Slavutych border guards position from Belarus.[41] At 11:30 (UTC+2), a second wave of Russian missile bombings targeted the cities of Kyiv, Odessa, Kharkiv, and Lviv. Heavy ground fighting was reported in the Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblasts.[42]

By 12:04 (UTC+2), Russian troops advancing from Crimea moved towards the city of Nova Kakhovka in Kherson Oblast.[43] Later that day, Russian troops entered the city of Kherson and took control of the North Crimean Canal, which would allow them to resume water supplies for the peninsula.[44]


A destroyed APC from the Battle of Konotop

At 13:00 and 13:19 (UTC+2), Ukrainian border guards and Armed Forces reported two new clashes—near Sumy ("in the direction of Konotop") and Starobilsk (in Luhansk Oblast).[40] At 13:32 (UTC+2), Valerii Zaluzhnyi reported four ballistic missiles launched from the territory of Belarus in a southwestern direction.[40] Several stations of Kyiv Metro and Kharkiv Metro were used as bomb shelters for the local population.[40] A local hospital in Vuhledar (Donetsk Oblast) was reported to have been bombed with four civilians dead and 10 wounded (including 6 physicians).[40]


At 16:00 (UTC+2), Zelenskyy said that fighting between Russian and Ukrainian forces had erupted in the ghost cities of Chernobyl and Pripyat.[45] By around 18:20 (UTC+2), the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant was under Russian control,[46][47][48] as were the surrounding areas.[49][50][45]


At 16:18 (UTC+2), Vitali Klitschko, the mayor of Kyiv, proclaimed a curfew lasting from 22:00 to 07:00.[51]


At 22:00 (UTC+2), the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine announced that Russian forces had captured Snake Island following a naval and air bombardment of the island.[52] All thirteen border guards on the island were assumed to have been killed in the bombardment, after refusing to surrender to a Russian warship; a recording of the guards refusing an offer to surrender went viral on social media. President Zelenskyy announced that the presumed-dead border guards would be posthumously granted the title of Hero of Ukraine, the country's highest honour.[53][54] Seventeen civilians were confirmed killed, including thirteen killed in Southern Ukraine,[55] three in Mariupol, and one in Kharkiv.[56] Zelenskyy stated that 137 Ukrainian citizens (both soldiers and civilians) died on the first day of the invasion.[57]

Shortly after 23:00 (UTC+2), President Zelenskyy ordered a general mobilisation of all Ukrainian males between 18 and 60 years old; for the same reason, Ukrainian males from that age group were banned from leaving Ukraine.[58]


25 February


File:Kyiv Tense as Russian Forces Advance.webm
"Kyiv Tense as Russian Forces Advance", video news report from Voice of America

Around 04:00 (UTC+2) local time, Kyiv was rocked with two explosions from cruise and ballistic missiles.[59] The Ukrainian government said that it had shot down an enemy aircraft over Kyiv, which then crashed into a residential building, setting it on fire.[60] It was later confirmed that the aircraft was a Ukrainian Su-27.[61][clarification needed]


Independent military analysts noted that Russian forces in the north of the country appeared to have been heavily engaged by the Ukrainian military. Russian units were attempting to encircle Kyiv and advance into Kharkiv but were bogged down in heavy fighting, with social media images suggesting that some Russian armoured columns had been ambushed. In contrast, Russian operations in the east and south were more effective. The best trained and equipped Russian units were positioned outside Donbas in the southeast and appeared to have manoeuvred around the prepared defensive trenches and attacked in the rear of Ukrainian defensive positions. Meanwhile, Russian military forces advancing from Crimea were divided into two columns, with analysts suggesting that they may have been attempting to encircle and entrap the Ukrainian defenders at Donbas, forcing the Ukrainians to abandon their prepared defences and fight in the open.[62]


On the morning of 25 February, Zelenskyy accused Russia of targeting civilian sites;[63] Ukrainian Interior Ministry representative Vadym Denysenko said that 33 civilian sites had been hit in the previous 24 hours.[64]

Ukraine's Defence Ministry stated that Russian forces had entered the district of Obolon, Kyiv, and were approximately 9 kilometres (5.6 mi) from the Verkhovna Rada building.[53] Some Russian forces had entered northern Kyiv, but had not progressed beyond that.[65] Russia's Spetsnaz troops infiltrated the city with the intention of "hunting" government officials.[66] An unmarked armored vehicle was filmed veering across the road and crushing a civilian car in northern Kyiv. Although widely captioned as the act of a Russian tank, experts suggested it was unclear who operated the military vehicle and why the incident occurred. The civilian driving the car, an elderly man, survived and was helped out by locals.[67][68][69][70]


An apartment block in Kyiv (Oleksandr Koshyts Street) after shelling, 25 February

The mayor of Horlivka in the Russian-backed Donetsk People's Republic reported that a munition fired by the Ukrainian military hit a local school building, killing two teachers.[71]


As Russian troops approached Kyiv, Zelenskyy asked residents to prepare Molotov cocktails to "neutralise" the enemy. Putin meanwhile called on the Ukrainian military to overthrow the government.[72][73] Ukraine distributed 18,000 guns to Kyiv residents who expressed a willingness to fight and deployed the Territorial Defence Forces, the reserve component of the Ukrainian military, for the defence of Kyiv.[74] The Defence Ministry also announced that all Ukrainian civilians were eligible to volunteer for military service regardless of their age.[15]


By the evening, the Pentagon stated that Russia had not established air supremacy of Ukrainian airspace, which US analysts had predicted would happen quickly after hostilities began. Ukrainian air defence capabilities had been degraded by Russian attacks, but remained operational. Military aircraft from both nations continued to fly over Ukraine.[75] The Pentagon also said that Russian troops were also not advancing as quickly as either US intelligence or Moscow believed they would, that Russia had not taken any population centres, and that Ukrainian command and control was still intact. The Pentagon warned that Russia had sent into Ukraine only 30 per cent of the 150,000–190,000 troops it had massed at the border.[76]


Reports circulated of a Ukrainian missile attack against the Millerovo air base in Russia, to prevent the base being used to provide air support to Russian troops in Ukraine.[77]


Zelenskyy indicated that the Ukrainian government was not "afraid to talk about neutral status".[78] On the same day, President Putin indicated to Xi Jinping, the Chinese paramount leader and general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, that "Russia is willing to conduct high-level negotiations with Ukraine".[79]

26 February


Apartment block in Kyiv (Valeriy Lobanovskyi Avenue) struck by a missile, 26 February
Apartment block in Kharkiv partially destroyed by a missile, 26 February

At 00:00 (UTC), heavy fighting was reported to the south of Kyiv, near the city of Vasylkiv and its air base.[80] The Ukrainian General Staff claimed that a Ukrainian Su-27 fighter had shot down a Russian Il-76 transport plane carrying paratroopers near the city.[81] Vasylkiv mayor Natalia Balasinovich said her city had been successfully defended by Ukrainian forces and the fighting was ending.[82]


Around 03:00, more than 48 explosions in 30 minutes were reported around Kyiv, as the Ukrainian military was reported to be fighting near the CHP-6 power station in the northern neighbourhood of Troieshchyna.[83] BBC News reported the attack may be an attempt to cut off electricity to the city. Heavy fighting was reported near the Kyiv Zoo and the Shuliavka neighbourhood. Early on 26 February, the Ukrainian military said it had repelled a Russian attack on an army base located on Peremohy Avenue, a main road in Kyiv;[84] it also claimed to have repelled a Russian assault on the city of Mykolaiv on the Black Sea.[85] American officials said a Russian Il-76 transport plane had been shot down by Ukrainian forces near Bila Tserkva, about 80 kilometres (50 mi) south of Kyiv.[86][87][88] President Zelenskyy, remaining in Kyiv, had refused US offers of evacuation, instead requesting more ammunition for Ukrainian troops.[89]

Hundreds of casualties were reported during overnight fighting in Kyiv, where shelling destroyed an apartment building, bridges, and schools.[86] At 11:00, the Ukrainian General Staff reported that its aircraft had conducted 34 sorties in the past 24 hours, indicating that Russia had continued to, unexpectedly, fail to gain air superiority.[90]


By the afternoon, most of the Russian forces that had amassed around Ukraine were fighting in the country. Mayor Vitaly Klitschko of Kyiv imposed a curfew from 5 p.m. Saturday until 8 a.m. Monday, warning that anyone outside during that time would be considered enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups.[91] Internet connections were disrupted in parts of Ukraine, particularly in the south and east.[92] In response to a request from Mykhailo Fedorov, the Vice-Prime Minister of UkraineElon Musk announced that he had turned on his Starlink service in Ukraine, with "more terminals en route".[93][94]

File:Solemn Kyiv Copes with Bombs Gunfire.webm
"Solemn Kyiv Copes with Bombs, Gunfire", a video news report from Voice of America

Ukrainian Interior Ministry representative Vadym Denysenko stated that Russian forces had advanced further towards Enerhodar and the Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant. He stated that they were deploying Grad missiles there and warned that they may attack the plant.[95] The Zaporizhia Regional State Administration stated that the Russian forces advancing on Enerhodar had later returned to Bolshaya Belozerka, a village located 30 kilometres (19 mi) from the city, on the same day.[96]


A Japanese-owned cargo ship, the MV Namura Queen with 20 crew members onboard was struck by a Russian missile in the Black Sea. A Moldovan ship, MV Millennial Spirit, was also shelled by a Russian warship, causing serious injuries.[97]


Ramzan Kadyrov, the head of the Chechen Republic, confirmed that the Kadyrovtsy, units loyal to the Chechen Republic, had been deployed into Ukraine as well.[98] Oleksiy Danilov, the Secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defense Council, stated that members of Russia's Federal Security Service had tipped off Ukraine that Kadyrovtsy were attempting to infiltrate Kyiv and assassinate President Zelensky. Danilov stated that the Kadyrovtsy had split into two groups, with one destroyed by Ukrainian forces.[99]

A six-year-old boy was killed and multiple others were wounded when artillery fire hit the Okhmatdyt Children's Hospital in Kyiv.[100] The Ukrainian military claimed to have blown up a convoy of 56 tankers in Chernihiv Oblast carrying diesel for Russian forces.[101]


By the end of the day, Russian forces had failed in their attempts to encircle and isolate Kyiv, despite mechanised and airborne attacks.[102] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russia had committed its operational northern reserve of 17 battalion tactical groups (BTGs) after Ukrainian forces halted the advance of 14 BTGs to the north of Kyiv.[90] Russia temporarily abandoned attempts to seize Chernihiv and Kharkiv after attacks were repelled by determined Ukrainian resistance, and bypassed those cities to continue towards Kyiv.[102] In the south, Russia took Berdiansk and threatened to encircle Mariupol.[90]


The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said that poor planning and execution was leading to morale and logistical issues for the Russian military in northern Ukraine.[102] US and UK officials reported that Russian forces faced shortages of gasoline and diesel fuel, leading to tanks and armoured vehicles stalling and slowing their advance.[103] Videos also emerged online of Russian tanks and armoured personnel carriers, or APCs, stranded on the roadside.[104] Russia continued to not use its full arsenal; the ISW said this was likely to avoid the diplomatic and public relations consequences of mass civilian casualties, as well as to avoid creating rubble that would impede the advance of its own forces.[90]

27 February


Equipment of Russian sabotage and reconnaissance group captured in Odessa Oblast

Overnight, a gas pipeline outside Kharkiv was reported to have been blown up by a Russian attack,[105] while an oil depot in the village of Kriachky near Vasylkiv ignited after being hit by missiles.[106] Heavy fighting near the Vasylkiv air base prevented firefighters from tackling the blaze.[107] Also at night, it was reported that a group of Ukrainian Roma (Gypsies) had seized a Russian tank in Liubymivka, close to Kakhovka, in the Kherson Oblast.[108][109] Furthermore, the Presidential Office stated that Zhuliany Airport was also bombed.[110] Russian-backed separatists in Luhansk province said that an oil terminal in the town of Rovenky was hit by a Ukrainian missile.[111] The State Emergency Service of Ukraine rescued 80 people from a nine-story residential building in Kharkiv after Russian artillery hit the building, extensively damaging it and killing a woman.[112]


Nova Kakhovka's mayor, Vladimir Kovalenko, confirmed that the city had been seized by Russian troops, and he accused them of destroying the settlements of Kozatske and Vesele.[113] Russian troops also entered Kharkiv, with fighting taking place in the city streets, including in the city centre.[114] At the same time, Russian tanks started pushing into Sumy.[115] Meanwhile, the Russian Defense Ministry announced that Russian forces had completely surrounded Kherson and Berdiansk, in addition to capturing Henichesk and Kherson International Airport in Chernobaevka.[116][117] By the early afternoon, Kharkiv Oblast governor Oleh Synyehubov stated that Ukrainian forces had regained full control of Kharkiv,[118] and Ukrainian authorities said that dozens of Russian troops in the city had surrendered.[119] Hennadiy Matsegora, the mayor of Kupiansk, later agreed to hand over control of the city to Russian forces.[120]


In a televised address, President Putin was shown to have ordered the Minister of Defence and the Chief of the General Staff "to put the deterrence forces of the Russian army into a special mode of combat service", in response to what he called "aggressive statements" by NATO members.[121][122][123] The phrase Putin used, namely "special mode of combat service", was unknown on the basis of open sources.[124] Purported order was interpreted as a threat and met with criticism from NATO, the EU, and the United Nations (UN); NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg described it as being "dangerous and irresponsible", while UN official Stéphane Dujarric called the idea of a nuclear war "inconceivable".[125][126]


According to the intelligence analyst firm Rochan Consulting, Russia had succeeded in connecting Crimea with areas in eastern Ukraine held by pro-Russian forces by besieging Mariupol and Berdiansk.[127] Oleksiy Arestovych, an advisor to President Zelenskyy, stated that Berdiansk had been captured by Russian forces.[128] The main Russian force from the Crimea was advancing north towards Zaporizhzhia, while a Russian force on the east bank of the Dnipro threatened Mykolaiv.[129]


Russian forces were pushed back in Bucha and Irpin to the north-west of Kyiv. According to UK military intelligence, Russian mechanised forces had bypassed Chernihiv as they moved towards Kyiv.[130] Luhansk Oblast governor Serhiy Haidai accused Russian forces of destroying Stanytsia Luhanska and Shchastia before capturing them, while Donetsk Oblast governor Pavlo Kyrylenko also accused them of destroying Volnovakha.[131]


The ISW said that Russian forces in northern Ukraine had likely conducted an "operational pause" starting the previous day in order to deploy additional forces and supplies; Russian military resources not previously part of the invasion force were being moved toward Ukraine in anticipation of a more difficult conflict than initially expected.[129]


28 February


File:Chernihiv, 28.02.2022 - State Emergency Service of Ukraine.webm
Ruins in Chernihiv after Russian shelling on 28 February
File:Russian shelling of Kharkiv, 28 February 2022.webm
Russian shelling of Kharkiv on 28 February

Fighting took place around Mariupol throughout the night.[132] On the morning of 28 February, the UK defence ministry said that most Russian ground forces remained over 30 km (19 mi) north of Kyiv, having been slowed by Ukrainian resistance at Hostomel Airport. It also said that fighting was taking place near Chernihiv and Kharkiv, and that both cities remained under Ukrainian control.[133] Maxar Technologies released satellite images that showed a Russian column, including tanks and self-propelled artillery, travelling toward Kyiv near Ivankiv.[134] The firm initially stated that the convoy was approximately 27 kilometres (17 mi) long, but clarified later that day that the column was actually more than 64 kilometres (40 mi) in length.[134]


The Times reported that the Wagner Group had been redeployed from Africa to Kyiv, with orders to assassinate Zelenskyy during the first days of the Russian invasion.[135]


Ukrainian advisor Oleksiy  Arestovych claimed that more than 200 Russian military vehicles had been destroyed or damaged on the highway between Irpin and Zhytomyr by 14:00 EET.[136] Ihor Terekhov, the mayor of Kharkiv, stated that nine civilians were killed and 37 were wounded due to Russian shelling on the city during the day.[137] Oksana Markarova, the Ukrainian ambassador to the US, accused Russia of using a vacuum bomb.[138]


Talks between Ukrainian and Russian representatives in Gomel, Belarus, ended without a breakthrough.[139][140] As a condition for ending the invasion, Putin demanded Ukraine's neutrality, "denazification" and "demilitarisation", and recognition of Crimea as Russian territory.[141]


Russia increased strikes on Ukrainian airfields and logistics centres, particularly in the west, in an apparent attempt to ground the Ukrainian air force and disrupt resupply from nations to the west. In the north, the ISW called the decision to use heavy artillery in Kharkiv "a dangerous inflection". Additional Russian forces and logistics columns in southern Belarus appeared to be maneuvering to support a Kyiv assault.[142] An analyst with the Royal United Services Institute stated that the Ukrainian regular army is no longer functioning in formations but in largely fixed defences, and was increasingly integrated with Territorial Defense Forces and armed volunteers.[143]


On 28 February, a diplomatic crisis within Greece–Russia relations was sparked when the latter's air forces bombarded the two settlements of Buhas and Sartana, majority-populated by Ukrainian Greeks near Mariupol, killing 12 Greeks.[144] Greece protested strongly, summoning the Russian ambassador. French President Emmanuel Macron and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken,[145] along with Germany,[146] and other countries, expressed their condolences to Greece. Russian authorities denied responsibility, although Greek authorities stated that they had evidence of Russian involvement.[147] In response, Greek prime minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis announced that his country would send defensive military equipment and humanitarian aid to support Ukraine.[148][149]


Sky News reporting team, whilst attempting to return to Kyiv, came under gunfire from what Ukraine claimed was a Russian saboteur reconnaissance squad. Stuart Ramsay, a member of the team, was wounded in the lower back.[150][151][152]


A ranking Russian Army commander, Major General Andrey Sukhovetsky, deputy commander of the 41st Combined Arms Army of the Central Military District, was killed in unspecified circumstances in Ukraine.[153][154]

March 2022

1 March

A downtown street in Kharkiv after Russian bombardment
Russian military vehicles destroyed on a road in the town of Bucha, close to the capital Kyiv on 1 March 2022

According to Dmytro Zhyvytskyi, the governor of Sumy Oblast, more than 70 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed during Russian shelling of a military base in Okhtyrka.[155] A Russian missile later hit the regional administration building on Freedom Square during a bombardment of Kharkiv, killing at least ten civilians, and wounding 35 others.[156][157] In southern Ukraine, the city of Kherson was reported to be under attack by Russian forces.[158] The Ukrainian government announced that it would sell war bonds to fund armed forces.[159]


The Ukrainian parliament stated that the Armed Forces of Belarus had joined Russia's invasion and were in Chernihiv Oblast, northeast of the capital. UNIAN reported that a column of 33 military vehicles had entered the region. The US disagreed with these claims, saying that there was "no indication" that Belarus had invaded.[160] Hours prior, Belarus's President Lukashenko said that Belarus would not join the war.[161]


After Russia's Defense Ministry announced that it would hit targets to stop "information attacks", missiles struck broadcasting infrastructure for the primary television and radio transmitters in Kyiv, taking TV channels off the air.[162] Ukrainian officials said that the attack killed five people and damaged the nearby Babyn Yar Holocaust Memorial Center, Ukraine's main Holocaust memorial.[163][164]


An official from the US Department of Defense stated that Russian forces had captured Berdiansk and Melitopol.[165]


2 March


The Ukrainian military reported a Russian paratrooper assault on northwest Kharkiv, where a military hospital came under attack.[166] Zhyvytskyi stated that Russian forces had captured Trostianets after entering it at 01:03.[167]


Ukrainian advisor Oleksiy Arestovych stated that the Ukrainian forces had gone on the offensive for the first time during the war, advancing towards Horlivka.[168] Russian troops also advanced, capturing the city of Kherson.[169]


Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, stated that Ukrainian forces had recaptured Makariv.[170] Vadym Boychenko, the mayor of Mariupol, reported that the residential areas in the city were being "relentlessly" shelled by the Russian military, with "scores of" casualties among civilians.[171]


The Bangladeshi bulk carrier Banglar Samriddhi was struck by a missile at 17:25 at the port of Olvia in Mykolaiv Oblast, setting it on fire and killing a Bangladeshi engineer.[172][173]


Ukrayinska Pravda reported, with reference to a source in Ukraine's intelligence, that Viktor Yanukovych, a former president of Ukraine with pro-Russia sympathies ousted following the Revolution of Dignity, was in Minsk, Belarus, and that it was Russia's intention to declare him as president in the event of Russian forces gaining control of Kyiv.[174][175] Nevertheless, some analysts think that Putin may put the pro-Russian Viktor Medvedchuk as president if Ukraine surrenders.[176]


Sergey Lavrov, the Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs, accused the NATO and the EU of wanting to start a nuclear war and warned that "World War III would be nuclear and destructive".[177]

3 March

During a second round of talks, Russia and Ukraine agreed to open humanitarian corridors for the evacuation of civilians.[178] The Estonian cargo ship Helt sunk after an explosion near Odessa; all six crew members aboard the ship survived.[179][180]


The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs authorized the supply of 2,700 surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) to Ukraine.[181] Ukraine's parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, passed a law allowing the seizure of assets owned by the Russian government or nationals.[182]


The Russian Defense Ministry claimed it had captured Balakliia.[183] Zelenskyy meanwhile asked to hold direct talks with Russian president Putin, saying that they are "the only way to stop this war".[184] The United States stated that about 90% of the Russian forces that had amassed around Ukraine before the invasion had entered the country.[185]


Zelenskyy also announced that the first batch of international volunteers had arrived in Ukraine to fight against Russian forces. He added that Ukraine was regularly receiving weapons from Western countries.[186]

4 March

School in Zhytomyr after 4 March airstrike

At Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, a projectile hit within the plant site, causing a localised fire of a building that is not part of the reactors.[187][188][189] The State Nuclear Regulatory Inspectorate of Ukraine said that there were no changes to radiation levels and officials reported that the fire was extinguished after several hours. The transformer of Unit 6 had also been damaged.[190] After a battle that killed three Ukrainian soldiers, Russian troops occupied the power plant.[191] The representative of the Russian Ministry of Defense, Igor Konashenkov, announced that the attack on the power plant was an attempted provocation by a Ukrainian sabotage group.[192] The Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Oleksiy Danilov said that the shelling of the power plant was carried out by the Russian side.[193]


NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg rejected Ukraine's request for imposing a no-fly zone over the country, stating that it would lead to a full-fledged war with Russia.[194] The United States stated that Russia had fired more than 500 missiles at Ukraine and the Russian Kyiv convoy north of Kyiv was 15 miles (24 km) away from the capital.[195]


5 March

Russian armed forces announced a ceasefire for the organization of humanitarian corridors from Mariupol to allow around 200,000 civilians to evacuate the city which lacks water and electricity.[196] Soon after this however, the ceasefire ended with Russia and Ukraine blaming each other for the breakdown.[197][198] Arestovych meanwhile stated that Russian troops had captured Bucha and Hostomel during the day.[199]

6 March

Russian troops in Novoaidar on 6 March.

The Havryshivka Vinnytsia International Airport was destroyed after being hit with Russian missile attacks during the day.[200] The Zhytomyr Armour Plant was destroyed in a Russian airstrike as well.[201] A second attempt to evacuate civilians from Mariupol was meanwhile scuttled.[202] A US defense official later stated that about 95% of the troops Russia had stationed around Ukraine before the start of the war were inside the country.[203]

7 March

The Hostomel City Council announced that the city mayor Yuri Prilipko had been killed by Russian forces.[204] Oleksandr Markushin, the mayor of Irpin, was meanwhile reported to have been captured.[205]

The Ukrainian armed forces stated that Russian forces had captured VasylivkaTokmak and Polohy.[206] Vitaliy Kim, the governor of Mykolaiv Oblast, said that Ukrainian forces had reclaimed the Mykolaiv International Airport.[207] The Ukrainian armed forces meanwhile claimed to have retaken Chuhuiv in a counter-attack overnight, in addition to killing two Russian commanders.[208] The Ukrainian Air Force also bombed the military airbase at the Russian-occupied Kherson International Airport.[209]

The Russian Defense Ministry stated that it would open six humanitarian corridors. The Ukrainian government criticised the announcement since only two of them led to other Ukrainian territories, while the others led to Russia or Belarus.[210]

A US defense official stated that Russia had deployed nearly 100% of the forces it had amassed around Ukraine before the invasion and fired more than 625 missiles.[211]

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defence stated during the day that it had killed Russian Major General Vitaly Gerasimov near Kharkiv.[212] Two Russian missiles meanwhile hit oil depots in Zhytomyr and Cherniakhiv at night, setting them ablaze.[213]

8 March

Another attempt to evacuate civilians from Mariupol was prevented, with the Ukrainian government accusing Russian forces of targeting the evacuation corridor.[214] Civilians were however able to evacuate from Sumy, the first such evacuation as part of an agreement between Ukraine and Russia on humanitarian corridors.[215]

9 March


Poland offered to transfer all its 23 MiG-29 fighter jets to the United States for free and deliver them to Ramstein Air Base in Germany, with the United States then delivering them to Ukraine. The US rejected the proposition, the Pentagon pronouncing Poland's proposal "not tenable".[216][217][218] Davyd Arakhamia, a Ukrainian negotiator in talks with Russia, stated that more than 40,000 civilians were evacuated from various cities during the day.[219]

10 March

File:Видео уничтожения двух боевых машин пехоты ВСУ высокоточным комплексом.ogv
Russian UAV strikes two Ukrainian infantry fighting vehicles, March 2022
Russian military vehicles bombed by Ukrainian forces in the Kyiv region, March 2022

Turkey hosted a tri-lateral meeting between foreign ministers in AntalyaDmytro Kuleba, Ukrainian Foreign minister described his meeting with Lavrov as difficult, as they yielded no result.[220] The Russian Defense Ministry meanwhile stated that Russian forces would open humanitarian corridors everyday to Russia from 10:00.[221]

A senior US Defense Department official claimed that in the west of Kyiv, Russian military had advanced by about 5 kilometres (3.1 mi) closer to central Kyiv, in the vicinity of Hostomel Airport. The column advancing from the east was meanwhile 40 kilometres away from Kyiv. Furthermore, he claimed that Chernihiv was now "isolated".[222][223] Ukrainian forces meanwhile ambushed a Russian column in Brovary Raion and forced it to retreat after destroying several tanks and killing a tank commander.[224][225]

Parts of the Russian convoy approaching Kyiv from the north had meanwhile largely dispersed and redeployed according to Maxar Technologies. UK's Ministry of Defence stated that Russia was likely regrouping for an attack on Kyiv.[226]

On this day, a Russian drone crashed in Zagreb, the capital city of Croatia.[227]

11 March

Russian forces expanded their offensive to Western Ukraine, targeting Ivano-Frankivsk and Lutsk. Four Ukrainian soldiers were killed and another six wounded during rocket attacks on Lutsk Air Base,[228][229] while two boiler plants were shut down[230] and the air base was destroyed.[231] Missiles also hit Dnipro, killing one civilian, while the Russian Defense Ministry claimed to have disabled the military airbase at Ivano-Frankivsk International Airport.[229]

According to Ukrainian officials, the mayor of Melitopol, Ivan Fedorov, was abducted by Russian soldiers.[232] Elsewhere, a top Russian commander, Maj. Gen. Andrei Kolesnikov, was reported by Ukrainian officials to have been killed in action. Western officials believe that around 20 Russian major generals were taking a personal part in the invasion to motivate demoralized Russian troops.[233]

Fighting intensified during the day to the northeast and east of Kyiv.[234] The Ukrainian Air Force later claimed that Russia had conducted a false flag operation to make the Armed Forces of Belarus enter the war, by using its jets to fire at the village of Kopani near Belarus' border with Ukraine from Ukrainian airspace.[235] It also claimed that two other Belarusian settlements were attacked as well. The Belarusian Ministry of Defence however stated that no such attack had occurred.[236]

President Putin approved the deployment of up to 16,000 volunteers from the Middle East to Ukraine during the day, with the Wagner Group already reported to have recruited more than 4,000 Syrians.[237] Fighters from the Central African Republic also claimed to be preparing to fight for Russia in Ukraine.[238]

12 March

Heavy fighting occurred to the north of Kyiv and around other besieged cities during the day, while Ukrainian officials stated that the clashes and Russian airstrikes were threatening civilian evacuations. Russian forces destroyed the Vasylkiv Air Base, while the Russian Defense Ministry also claimed they had destroyed the main center of radio and electronic intelligence of Ukrainian forces in Brovary.[239][240][241]

Kuleba during the day accused the Russian government of planning to stage a referendum in Kherson to create a "Kherson People's Republic", which would be run by a government sympathetic to Russia.[242] The forces of the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) meanwhile captured Volnovakha.[243]

The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces stated that Russia's advance had slowed down and had been stopped at many places. Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk meanwhile said that around 13,000 civilians were evacuated during the day.[244]

Ukrainian officials accused Russia of using phosphorus bombs while attacking Popasna late on 12 March. The Sviatohirsk Lavra monastery was meanwhile damaged in Russian bombing around 22:00.[245][246][247]

13 March

Russian forces bombed the Yavoriv International Center for Peacekeeping and Security, a military base used by the Ukrainian military to hold most of their drills with NATO countries, with more than 30 missiles according to Lviv Oblast's governor Maksym Kozytskyy. He later stated that 35 people had been killed and 134 were wounded, while the Russian Defense Ministry claimed that up to 180 non-Ukrainian mercenaries were killed and many weapons supplied by other nations to Ukraine were destroyed. This was the westernmost strike carried out by Russia since the war began.[244][248] It also claimed that another Ukrainian military facility in Starichi was hit, while the mayor of Ivano-Frankivsk stated that the city's airport was hit again.[244]

Heavy fighting was reported on multiple fronts during the day.[244] Ukraine claimed that it was counter-attacking in Kharkiv Oblast and around Mykolaiv, while UK's Ministry of Defense stated that Russian forces were trying to isolate Ukrainian forces in Eastern Ukraine and the Russian Navy had effectively established a blockade around Ukraine's Black Sea coastline, stopping its international maritime trade.[244]

President Zelenskyy stated that nearly 125,000 civilians had been evacuated under the humanitarian corridor agreement, while Russian and Ukrainian negotiators reported progress in peace talks.[244] An American journalist, Brent Renaud, was shot dead in Irpin as a result of fire opened by Russian forces, according to the Kyiv police department.[249]

On this day, an unarmed Russian Orlan-10 reconnaisance drone crashed in the Romanian village of Tărpiu.[250][251][252]

14 March

Denis Pushilin, head of the DPR, said they had downed a Ukrainian Tochka-U missile over the city of Donetsk in the morning, but the city centre was struck by the missile′s fragments. The Russian Defense Ministry stated that 23 civilians were killed. The Ukrainian military however claimed that Russian forces were behind the attack.[253] In retaliation, the Russian Defence Ministry promised to take steps to destroy Ukraine′s defence industry outfits.[254] It also said that Russia knew the locations of all "foreign mercenaries in Ukraine" and the Russian forces would continue to strike them with precision.[255]

A Russian missile strike hit a transmission tower in the village of Antopi in Rivne Oblast according to the oblast governor Vitaliy Koval.[256] Rivne Regional Military Administration chief Vitaliy Kova later stated that 21 civilians were killed and nine were wounded.[257] Dnipro Oblast governor Valentin Reznichenko stated that Russian bombardment on the Dnipro International Airport at night destroyed its runway and damaged the terminal.[258] Civilians were able to evacuate Mariupol for the first time during the day.[259]

A senior US Department of Defence official meanwhile stated that Russia's advance had been stalled on almost all fronts, but it did not seem that it would stop its attacks.[260] The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights also reported that over 40,000 Syrians had registered to fight for Russia in Ukraine. It added that recruitment notices had been sent out to Al-Katerji militia, which had acted as an intermediary between the Syrian government and the Islamic State group in the past.[261]

15 March

The Russian Defense Ministry claimed on 15 March that Russian forces had taken complete control of the Kherson Oblast and had shot down six Bayraktar TB2 drones in the past 24 hours.[262] Landing ships of the Russian Navy were meanwhile approaching the coast of Odessa.[263]

Heraschenko later claimed that Russian Maj. Gen. Oleg Mityaev was killed in Mariupol.[264] The Ukrainian Air Force meanwhile struck the military airbase at Kherson International Airport again, destroying multiple Russian helicopters.[209]

On the same day, President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine will not join NATO any time soon, and "it’s a truth and it must be recognized".[265][266] Prime Minister of the Czech Republic Petr FialaPrime Minister of Slovenia Janez JanšaPrime Minister of Poland Mateusz Morawiecki, and Deputy Prime Minister of Poland Jarosław Kaczyński later visited Kyiv and met with Zelenskyy to show support for Ukraine.[267]

16 March

The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv claimed that Russian forces had shot and killed 10 people queuing up for bread in Chernihiv, though it provided no evidence. Videos were later posted by others on social media showing the purported aftermath.[268]

Ukraine later announced its forces had begun a counter-offensive to repel Russian forces approaching Kyiv, with fighting in BuchaHostomel, and Irpin. Additionally, Ukrainian forces also started an offensive near Mykolaiv towards Kherson.[269]

Lavrov and Zelenskyy meanwhile stated that talks were progressing, with Lavrov stating that neutrality of Ukraine was now being discussed. Dmitry Peskov, spokesman for President Putin, stated that they were looking at a demilitarization model along the lines of Austria and Sweden, which have their own armies, but Zelenskyy's office rejected this shortly afterwards.[270] Mikhail Podolyak, one of the Ukrainian negotiators, stated that under the proposed peace plan, Ukraine would remain neutral, enshrine rights for Russian speakers, and ignore the issue of disputed territories. In return, it would keep its military, while allied countries would intervene in case it was invaded again.[271]

Andriy Yermak, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, later reported that Russian forces had released Melitopol's mayor Ivan Fedorov.[272] The regional drama theater in Mariupol sheltering around 1,000 civilians was later bombed during the day.[273]























































































































































































































































Saturday, January 15, 2022

China’s Next Generation Infrastructure Development in Tibet: Implications for India

 SOURCE: 

 (a) https://jamestown.org/program/chinas-next-generation-infrastructure-development-in-tibet-implications-for-india/?mc_cid=7b9e78a527&mc_eid=2aedc83db6


China’s Next Generation Infrastructure Development in Tibet: Implications for India

Publication: China Brief Volume: 22 Issue: 1



A 5G base station in Tibet (source: Xinhua)


Introduction

It has been 71 years since the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the local government of Tibet signed a 17-point agreement on “the peaceful liberation of Tibet” (Central Tibetan Administration, May 23, 2019). Nevertheless, the region remains a major source of insecurity and vulnerability for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The PRC considers Tibet an integral part of China and since 1999, has invested heavily in the region’s dual-use infrastructure under its western development strategy (西部大开发, xibu da kaifa) (China Brief, November 19, 2021). Under General Secretary Xi Jinping, emphasis on infrastructure development in Tibet has continued. China has not only invested in conventional infrastructure development such as roads, railways and airports, but also in border defense villages, and next generation infrastructure including internet connectivity projects (for a discussion of the PRC’s construction of transportation infrastructure in Tibet, see part one of this series, China Brief, November 19, 2021) )

This article reviews the next generation infrastructure that China is building and developing in Tibet, which includes xiaogong villages on the borders with India, Nepal and Bhutan, a new all-weather oil pipeline, and power, and internet connectivity infrastructure across the restive Tibetan plateau. The subsequent section considers the implications of these developments for China’s unresolved border dispute with India.

Next Generation Infrastructure Development in Tibet

Since late 2016, Chinese central leadership has pursued a policy of developing “well-off villages in border areas” (边境地区小康村建设规划, bianjing diqu xiaokang cun jianshe guihua) in the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR) as part of its rural revitalization program. The TAR government’s 2017 Work Report mentioned for the first time “the construction of well-off villages and simultaneous relocation of Tibetans in these villages” [1]. However, this process only accelerated after the 19th Party Congress in October 2017, when Xi called for “Chinese people with talent to work in remote poor areas, border areas with the ethnic minority population, as well as in communities and on the frontlines” (Xinhua, November 3, 2017).

In July 2017, the TAR government issued the “Plan for the Construction of Well-off Villages in the Border Areas of the Tibet Autonomous Region (2017-2020)” (Tibet.cn, May 11, 2019). The plan involves building 628 villages in the TAR’s 112 border towns across 21 border counties in Shigatse, Lhokha, Nyingchi and Ngari prefecture-level cities (56-China.com, December 18, 2020).

Map by Aneesh Jaganath, Researcher at The Takshashila Institution (see table 1 for the detailed data on China’s border villages)


Of these 628 administrative border villages, 427 are first-line villages and 201 are second-line villages. Of these 427 first-line villages, Shigatse city is building 354 villages along the borders with Bhutan, Nepal and the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh [2]. Through this initiative, the PRC plans to move 62,000 border residents and 241,835 people into 62,160 households across 628 villages (Huanqiu, August 12, 2020). The Central government has allocated around RMB 30.1 billion (approximately $4.6 billion) for this initiative, which was expected to be completed by 2020 (56-China.com, December 18, 2020). The recent TAR government’s Autonomous Region Strong Frontier Work Conference noted that 94% of the project had been completed by December 2020 [3]. A recent People’s Daily article also highlighted that China had completed construction of 604 well-off border villages by mid-2021 (People’s Daily, August 13, 2021). All 628 planned border villages will likely be constructed before the 20th National Party Congress in fall 2022.

Table: China’s Border Villages [4]

NoPrefecture-level CityCountyVillages
1Lhokha CityCona CountyQuna Village, Yama Rong Village, Khatak Village
Lhodrak CountyLhakhang Township, Gongzu Village, Sangyul Village, Lagyab Township
Lhunze CountyZhongna Village, Yumai Border Well-off Village, Dakri Township, Douyu Lopa Township, Sanlin Township, Jieluobu (Gyalaphug) Village
2Shigaste CityYatung (Dromo) CountyGuru Village, Pangda Village
Gampa CountyJiru Village
3Ngari PrefectureRutog CountyJagan Village – Risom Township
Gar CountyDianjiao village (Demchok) – Zhaxigang township
Zanda CountyChusong Village – Chulu Songjie Township
4Nyingchi CityMedog CountyDhamo Village – Lopa Ethnic Township, Guthang Township
Minling (Mainling) CountyDekyi New Village – Linlong Township, Bangzhong Village, Qionglin Village
Zayu CountyZhala Village – Zhuwagen Town, Shama Village – Xiayu Township, Kyoto Village, Jingdu Village – Zayu township,

Note: The above table is not a comprehensive list of all 628 villages but broadly representative of development  on the India-China, China-Bhutan and China-Nepal borders.

Furthermore, China is also trying to connect these border villages and the entire Tibetan plateau to internet and power facilities. The Lanzhou-Xining-Lhasa optical cable communication line (兰州-西宁-拉萨”光缆通信专线, Lanzhou-Xining-Lasa guanglan tongxin zhuanxian) connects Tibet with the rest of the country (Sohu, July 24, 2021). By the end of 2019, Tibet had complete access to the optical fiber network, and even border defense villages reportedly had a 4G access rate of around 98% (Tibet.cn, January 24, 2019). Some Tibetan towns even have 5G network access, and under the current 14th Five-Year Plan (FYP), China aims to increase 5G access across the region (Gov.cn, March 13, 2021). Similarly, by December 2020, China had connected all 66 counties and eight districts in the TAR to the central power grid (People’s Daily, February 26, 2021). The 2021 TAR Work Report calls for electrification of all villages along the borders with India, Bhutan and Nepal [5]. Moreover, the PRC is also reconstructing the “Snow Mountain Oil Dragon” (雪山油龙, xueshan you long) pipeline, as the old pipeline is scheduled to be decommissioned due to corrosion of pipes (Guangming Daily, July 21, 2021). The newer line will be 1,076 km long, over 150 mm larger in diameter and will run parallel to the existing line from Golmund to Lhasa [6]. Furthermore, the 13th FYP stipulated that China would also increase the number of oil depots in Tibet to ten. It is unclear if this target was met during the plan period (China News Network, January 8, 2016).

Implications for the Border Dispute with India

Article VII of the Political Parameters and Guiding Principles for the Settlement of the Boundary Question, a pact that the Indian and Chinese governments signed in April 2005, stipulates that “the two sides shall safeguard due interests of their settled populations in the border areas” [7]. Furthermore, Article 10 from Chapter 1 of China’s recently passed border law charges the state with adopting effective measures to strengthen border defense construction, support economic and social development along the border, and enhance public services and infrastructure construction to improve living conditions of residents in these areas (for further details see NPC Observer, October 23, 2021). Although village construction is part of China’s domestic agenda of “developing the border regions [and] enriching the local people” (兴边富民, xìng biān fùmín) highlighted in 1999, it should also be interpreted as efforts by China to legitimize a land version of the kind of “salami-slicing” tactics, which the PRC has employed in the South China Sea [8]. Raising permanent infrastructure like electric grids and providing internet connectivity to these villages supplements these efforts by making these areas more conducive to permanent settlement. In doing so, China aims to reaffirm its claims to disputed territory along the India-China border. Upon completion, these villages would also act as border watch posts for the PLA and help the PRC limit cross-border Tibetan migration.

Moreover, improved internet and power connectivity help the PLA and China’s border defense units sustain a presence in the region for longer durations. For instance, during the 2020 India-China stand-offs at five disputed locations in eastern Ladakh, Chinese troops were reportedly laying optical fiber cables near the Himalayan border. Such lines are militarily important as they provide forward-deployed troops with a secure line of communication with the rear and inland bases.

Similarly, the oil pipeline, one of the three major arteries (along with the Golmund-Lhasa oil pipeline and Qinghai-Tibet highway), which connects Tibet to China proper coupled with improved logistics and oil depot construction in the TAR, suggest that China is planning not only for rapid mobilization of forces to the border, but also for sustained deployments along the border areas [9].

Conclusion

China’s extensive conventional and next generation infrastructure development in the TAR and areas close to its southern border with India enhances its operational capability in the region and also boosts the local economy. Such extensive conventional and new-age infrastructure development and ongoing military reforms including an intensified Military-Civil Fusion (MCF) national strategy could help China deploy forces to forward positions for extended periods and mobilize counter-attack units relatively quickly from inland if required. Put simply, such developments could provide the PRC with an operational advantage along the border with India in the future.

Suyash Desai is an Associate Fellow, China Studies Programme, The Takshashila Institution, India. He studies China’s defense and foreign policies and writes a weekly newsletter on the Chinese armed forces called the PLA Insight. This article is inspired by his research project on China’s civilian and military developments in Tibet and its implications on India.

Notes

[1] See “2017 Tibet Autonomous Region Government Work Report” [2017 年西藏自治区政府工作报告], General Office of the People’s Government of Tibet Autonomous Region [西藏自治区人民政府办公厅], February 13, 2017. http://www.xizang.gov.cn/zwgk/xxfb/zfgzbg/201902/t20190223_62067.html

[2] For more on the PRC’s border construction, see “The Tibet Insight News,” Centre for China Analysis and Strategy, April 1-15, 2019. https://www.ccasindia.org/Tibet-Insight-News-Report-1-15-Apr-2019.pdf

[3] For more, see “Tibet Insight,” Centre for China Analysis and Strategy, October-December 2020. https://www.ccasindia.org/Tibet-Insight-News-Report-Oct-Dec-2020.pdf

[4] Compiled based on multiple sources from the Chinese internet like cppc.gov.in, Tibet.cn, Tibet Daily, TAR Government Work Reports, Sohu, Huanqiu; Jayadeva Ranade, “China’s Xiaogong (well-off) Border Defence Villages in the Tibet Autonomous Region, Vivekananda International Foundation, September 24, 2019. https://www.vifindia.org/article/2019/september/24/china-s-xiaokang-border-defence-villages-in-the-tibet-autonomous-region 

[5] See “2021 Tibet Autonomous Region Government Work Report” [2020 年西藏自治区政府工作报告], General Office of the People’s Government of Tibet Autonomous Region [西藏自治区人民政府], March 24, 2021. http://www.xizang.gov.cn/zwgk/xxfb/zfgzbg/202103/t20210324_197174.html

[6] For details on the pipeline, read Wenbing Yu, Fenglei Han, Weibo Liu and Stuart Arthur Harris, “Geohazard and Thermal Regime Analysis of Oil Pipeline along the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Engineering Corridor,” The Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Migration of Natural Hazards 83no 1 (2016): 193-209.

[7] See “Agreement between the Government of the Republic of India and the Government of the People’s Republic of China on the Political Parameters and Guiding Principles for the Settlement of the India-China Boundary Question,” Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India, April 11, 2005. https://mea.gov.in/bilateral-documents.htm?dtl/6534/Agreement+between+the+Government+of+the+Republic+of+India+and+the+Government+of+the+Peoples+Republic+of+China+on+the+Political+Parameters+and+Guiding+Principles+for+the+Settlement+of+the+IndiaChina+Boundary+Question

[8] See Shuxian Luo, “China Land Border Law: A Preliminary Assessment,” Brookings Blog, November 4, 2021. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2021/11/04/chinas-land-border-law-a-preliminary-assessment/

[9] See Rajeshwari Pillai Rajagopalan and Pulkit Mohan, “PLA Joint Exercises in Tibet: Implications for India,” ORF Occasional Paper, February 26, 2020. https://www.orfonline.org/research/pla-joint-exercises-in-tibet-implications-for-india-61735/