SOURCE:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_pandemic
INDEX
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SER 09 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/save-lives-ready-shovels.html
SER 08 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/the-impossible-ethics-of-pandemic-triage.html
SER 07 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/how-it-will-end.html
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SER 04 / (C) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/ser-04-c-of-x-serials-infectious_27.html
SER 04 / (B) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/2019-2020-cornavirus-pandemic_26.html
SER 04 / (A) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
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https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/infectious-diseases-infectious-diseases.html
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[ Page 01 OF 03 Pages ]
2019-2020 CORNAVIRUS PANDEMIC
From Wikipedia, the free encycloped
"Coronavirus outbreak" redirects here. For other outbreaks of coronaviruses, see Coronavirus § Outbreaks
The 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic is an ongoing pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).[4] The outbreak was first identified in Wuhan, Hubei, China, in December 2019, and was recognised as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on 11 March 2020.[5] As of 23 March, more than 350,000 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in over 190 countries and territories, resulting in more than 15,300 deaths and over 100,000 recoveries.[2][3]
Epidemic curve of COVID-19 by date of report
======================================================
DIAGRAM - 06
Semi-log plot of daily new confirmed cases by region: Hubei Province, mainland China excluding Hubei, the rest of the world (ROW), and the world total[257][258]
DIAGRAM - 07
Semi-log plot of coronavirus daily deaths by region: Hubei Province, mainland China excluding Hubei, the rest of the world (ROW), and the world total[257][258]
DIAGRAM - 08
Semi-log plot of cases in some countries with high growth rates (post-China) with doubling times and three-day projections based on the exponential growth rates
The primary mode of transmission is via respiratory droplets that people exhale or cough.[266] This is thought to occur when people are in close contact, often during coughing or sneezing.[267][268] The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) concur that it seems to spread via these droplets, but "[t]here is not enough epidemiological information at this time [23 March] to determine how easily and sustainably this virus spreads between people."[6] The stability of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in the air and on various surfaces is believed to be comparable to that of other coronaviruses.[269][270][271] A single study of how long SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) remains infectious on various surfaces, "show[s] that when the virus is carried by the droplets released when someone coughs or sneezes, it remains viable, or able to still infect people, in aerosols for at least three hours."[272]
Infographic by the United States CDC, describing how to stop the spread of germs.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_pandemic
INDEX
SER 12 (D) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases) VIRUS WAR
SER 12 (C) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases) VIRUS WAR
SER 12 (B) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases) VIRUS WAR
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/ser-12-b-of-x-serials-infectious.html
SER 12 (A) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases) VIRUS WAR
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/ser-12-of-x-serials-infectious-diseases_16.html
SER 11 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
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SER 10(B) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
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SER 10(B) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
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SER 10 (A) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/how-can-indian-economy-recover-from.html
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/how-can-indian-economy-recover-from.html
SER 09 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/save-lives-ready-shovels.html
SER 08 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/the-impossible-ethics-of-pandemic-triage.html
SER 07 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/how-it-will-end.html
SER 06 ( B ) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
SER 06 (A ) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
SER 05 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
SER 04 / (C) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/ser-04-c-of-x-serials-infectious_27.html
SER 04 / (B) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/2019-2020-cornavirus-pandemic_26.html
SER 04 / (A) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/2019-2020-cornavirus-pandemic.html
SER 03 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/novel-coronavirus-covid-19.html
SER 02 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/history-in-crisis-lessons-for-covid-19.html
SER 01 OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/infectious-diseases-infectious-diseases.html
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[ Page 01 OF 03 Pages ]
2019-2020 CORNAVIRUS PANDEMIC
From Wikipedia, the free encycloped
"Coronavirus outbreak" redirects here. For other outbreaks of coronaviruses, see Coronavirus § Outbreaks
Map of confirmed cases per capita as of 23 March 2020
| |||
| |||
| |||
Disease | Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) | ||
---|---|---|---|
Virus strain | Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) | ||
Location | Worldwide (list of locations) | ||
First case | Wuhan, Hubei, China 30°37′11″N 114°15′28″E | ||
Date | 1 December 2019 – present[1] (3 months and 3 weeks) | ||
Confirmed cases | 352,000+[2][3] | ||
Recovered | 100,000+[2][3] | ||
Deaths
| 15,300+[2][3] | ||
Territories
| 190+[2 |
The 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic is an ongoing pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).[4] The outbreak was first identified in Wuhan, Hubei, China, in December 2019, and was recognised as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on 11 March 2020.[5] As of 23 March, more than 350,000 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in over 190 countries and territories, resulting in more than 15,300 deaths and over 100,000 recoveries.[2][3]
The virus is typically spread from one person to another via respiratory droplets produced during coughing.[6][7] Primarily, it spreads when people are in close contact but it may also spread when one touches a contaminated surface and then their eyes, nose or mouth.[8] It is most contagious when people are symptomatic, although spread may be possible before symptoms appear.[9] The time between exposure and symptom onset is typically around five days, but may range from two to fourteen days.[7][10] Common symptoms include fever, cough, and shortness of breath.[7][10] Complications may include pneumonia and acute respiratory distress syndrome. There is no vaccine or specific antiviral treatment. Primary treatment is symptomatic and supportive therapy. Recommended preventive measures include hand washing, covering the mouth when coughing, maintaining distance from other people, and monitoring and self-isolation for people who suspect they are infected.[8][7][11]
Efforts to prevent the virus spreading include travel restrictions, quarantines, curfews, event postponements and cancellations, and facility closures. These include a quarantine of Hubei, nationwide quarantines in Italy and elsewhere in Europe, curfew measures elsewhere in China and South Korea,[12][13][14] various border closures or incoming passenger restrictions,[15][16] screening at airports and train stations,[17] and travel advisories regarding regions with community transmission.[18][19][20][21] Schools and universities have closed either on a nationwide or local basis in over 124 countries, affecting more than 1.2 billion students.[22]
The pandemic has led to global socioeconomic disruption,[23] the postponement or cancellation of sporting, religious and cultural events,[24] and widespread fears of supply shortages which have spurred panic buying.[25][26] Misinformation and conspiracy theories about the virus have spread online,[27][28] as during the time of 2009 flu pandemic lots more people were infected and died yet the mass hysteria seen for Coronavirus wasn't there [29] and there have been incidents of xenophobia and racism against Chinese and other East or Southeast Asian people.[30]
Epidemiology
Locations[a] | Cases[b] | Deaths | Recov.[c] | Ref. | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
175 | 349,807 | 15,307 | 100,345 | ||
China (mainland)[d] | 81,093 | 3,270 | 72,703 | [31] | |
Italy[e] | 59,138 | 5,476 | 7,024 | [34] | |
United States[f] | 35,418 | 473 | 175 | [36][35] | |
Spain | 33,089 | 2,182 | 3,355 | [37] | |
Germany | 26,220 | 111 | 266 | [38] | |
Iran[g] | 21,638 | 1,812 | 7,913 | [39][40] | |
France[h] | 16,018 | 674 | 2,200 | [41][35] | |
South Korea | 8,961 | 111 | 3,166 | [42] | |
Switzerland[i] | 8,249 | 107 | 131 | [43][44] | |
United Kingdom[j] | 5,702 | 282 | 140 | [49][50] | |
Netherlands[k] | 4,216 | 180 | – | [52] | |
Austria | 3,784 | 16 | 9 | [53][54] | |
Belgium | 3,743 | 88 | 350 | [55] | |
Norway[l] | 2,415 | 8 | – | [56] | |
Portugal | 2,060 | 23 | 14 | [58] | |
Sweden[m] | 1,934 | 24 | 16 | [59][60] | |
Australia[n] | 1,709 | 7 | 88 | [35][61] | |
Brazil | 1,619 | 25 | 2 | [35][62] | |
Denmark[o] | 1,572 | 13 | – | [63] | |
Malaysia | 1,518 | 14 | 159 | [66][67] | |
Canada | 1,472 | 21 | 18 | [68] | |
Israel | 1,238 | 1 | 37 | [69] | |
Turkey | 1,236 | 30 | 0 | [70] | |
Czech Republic | 1,165 | 1 | 6 | [71] | |
Japan | 1,101 | 41 | 235 | [35][72] | |
Ireland | 906 | 4 | 5 | [73] | |
Pakistan | 803 | 6 | 6 | [74] | |
Luxembourg | 798 | 8 | 6 | [75] | |
Ecuador | 789 | 14 | 3 | [76] | |
Thailand | 721 | 1 | 52 | [77][78] | |
Diamond Princess[p] | 712 | 9 | 574 | [79][80] | |
Poland | 649 | 7 | 1 | [81][82] | |
Chile | 632 | 1 | 8 | [83][84] | |
Finland[q] | 626 | 1 | 10 | [35][88] | |
Greece | 624 | 17 | 19 | [89] | |
Indonesia | 579 | 49 | 30 | [90][91] | |
Romania | 576 | 5 | 73 | [92] | |
Iceland | 568 | 1 | 36 | [93] | |
Saudi Arabia | 511 | 0 | 18 | [94] | |
Singapore | 509 | 2 | 152 | [95][96] | |
Qatar | 494 | 0 | 33 | [97] | |
Philippines | 462 | 33 | 18 | [98] | |
Russia[r] | 438 | 0 | 17 | [102] | |
India | 433 | 7 | 24 | [103] | |
Slovenia | 414 | 3 | – | [104] | |
South Africa | 402 | 0 | 2 | [105] | |
Peru | 363 | 5 | 1 | [106] | |
Hong Kong | 356 | 4 | 100 | [107] | |
Estonia | 352 | 0 | 4 | [108] | |
Bahrain | 339 | 2 | 160 | [109] | |
Egypt[s] | 327 | 14 | 56 | [110] | |
Mexico | 316 | 2 | 4 | [35][111] | |
Panama | 313 | 3 | 1 | [112][113] | |
Croatia | 306 | 0 | 5 | [114] | |
Argentina | 266 | 4 | 27 | [115] | |
Iraq | 266 | 23 | 62 | [116] | |
Lebanon | 256 | 4 | 8 | [117][118] | |
Colombia | 235 | 2 | 3 | [119][120] | |
Serbia | 222 | 2 | 2 | [121][35] | |
Dominican Republic | 202 | 3 | 0 | [122] | |
Algeria | 201 | 17 | 65 | [35] | |
Taiwan | 195 | 2 | 29 | [123][124] | |
Armenia | 194 | 0 | 2 | [35] | |
Kuwait | 189 | 0 | 30 | [125][126] | |
Bulgaria | 187 | 3 | 3 | [127] | |
Slovakia | 185 | 0 | 7 | [128][129] | |
Latvia | 180 | 0 | 1 | [35][130] | |
San Marino | 175 | 20 | 4 | [131] | |
Hungary | 167 | 7 | 16 | [132] | |
Lithuania | 154 | 1 | 1 | [133] | |
United Arab Emirates | 153 | 2 | 38 | [134][135] | |
North Macedonia | 136 | 2 | 1 | [136][137] | |
Uruguay | 135 | 0 | 0 | [35][138] | |
Costa Rica | 134 | 2 | 2 | [139][35] | |
Morocco | 134 | 4 | 3 | [140] | |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 128 | 1 | 2 | [35] | |
Vietnam | 122 | 0 | 17 | [141] | |
Andorra | 112 | 1 | 1 | [142] | |
Jordan | 112 | 0 | 1 | [35][143] | |
Malta | 107 | 0 | 2 | [144] | |
New Zealand | 102 | 0 | 0 | [145] | |
Burkina Faso | 99 | 4 | 5 | [146] | |
Moldova | 94 | 1 | 2 | [147] | |
Brunei | 91 | 0 | 2 | [148] | |
Albania | 89 | 2 | 3 | [149] | |
Tunisia | 89 | 3 | 1 | [35] | |
Cambodia | 86 | 0 | 2 | [150][151] | |
Sri Lanka | 86 | 0 | 3 | [152][153] | |
Belarus | 81 | 0 | 22 | [154][155] | |
Venezuela | 77 | 0 | 15 | [156] | |
Cyprus[t] | 75 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Ukraine | 73 | 3 | 1 | [157] | |
Azerbaijan | 72 | 1 | 10 | [158] | |
Senegal | 67 | 0 | 5 | [35][159] | |
Oman | 66 | 0 | 17 | [160] | |
Kazakhstan | 62 | 0 | 0 | [161] | |
Palestine | 59 | 0 | 17 | [162] | |
Cameroon | 56 | 0 | 2 | [35] | |
Georgia | 54 | 0 | 8 | [163][164] | |
Trinidad and Tobago | 50 | 0 | 0 | [35][165] | |
Liechtenstein | 46 | 0 | 0 | [166] | |
Uzbekistan | 43 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Afghanistan | 40 | 1 | 1 | [35] | |
Northern Cyprus | 38 | 0 | 3 | [167] | |
Nigeria | 36 | 1 | 2 | [168][169] | |
Cuba[u] | 35 | 1 | 0 | [170] | |
Kosovo | 31 | 0 | 0 | [171] | |
DR Congo | 30 | 2 | 0 | [172] | |
Bangladesh | 27 | 2 | 3 | [173] | |
Honduras | 26 | 0 | 0 | [174] | |
Ivory Coast | 25 | 0 | 1 | [175] | |
Bolivia | 24 | 0 | 0 | [176] | |
Ghana | 24 | 1 | 0 | [177][35] | |
Mauritius | 24 | 2 | 0 | [178] | |
Monaco | 23 | 0 | 1 | [179][35] | |
Montenegro | 22 | 1 | 0 | [180][35] | |
Paraguay | 22 | 1 | 0 | [181][182] | |
Guernsey | 20 | 0 | 0 | [183] | |
Guatemala | 19 | 1 | 0 | [35] | |
Jamaica | 19 | 1 | 2 | [35][184] | |
Macau | 19 | 0 | 10 | [185] | |
Rwanda | 19 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Togo | 18 | 0 | 0 | [186][35] | |
Jersey | 15 | 0 | 0 | [183] | |
Kenya | 15 | 0 | 0 | [187] | |
Barbados | 14 | 0 | 0 | [188] | |
Kyrgyzstan | 14 | 0 | 0 | [189] | |
Maldives | 13 | 0 | 3 | [190] | |
Madagascar | 12 | 0 | 0 | [191] | |
Tanzania | 12 | 0 | 0 | [192] | |
Ethiopia | 11 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Mongolia | 10 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Seychelles | 7 | 0 | 0 | [193] | |
Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Gabon | 5 | 1 | 0 | [35] | |
Guyana | 5 | 1 | 0 | [194] | |
Isle of Man | 5 | 0 | 0 | [195] | |
Suriname | 5 | 0 | 0 | [196] | |
Bahamas | 4 | 0 | 0 | [197] | |
Eswatini | 4 | 0 | 0 | [198] | |
Guinea | 4 | 0 | 1 | [35][199] | |
Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 0 | [200] | |
Central African Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Republic of the Congo | 3 | 0 | 0 | [201] | |
El Salvador | 3 | 0 | 0 | [202] | |
Liberia | 3 | 0 | 0 | [35][203] | |
Namibia | 3 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Zambia | 3 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Zimbabwe | 3 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Angola | 2 | 0 | 0 | [204] | |
Benin | 2 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Bhutan | 2 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Fiji | 3 | 0 | 0 | [205] | |
Gambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | [35][206] | |
Haiti | 2 | 0 | 0 | [207] | |
Mauritania | 2 | 0 | 0 | [208] | |
Nepal | 2 | 0 | 1 | [209][35] | |
Nicaragua | 2 | 0 | 0 | [210] | |
Niger | 2 | 0 | 0 | [211] | |
Saint Lucia | 2 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | [35] | |
Antigua and Barbuda | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Chad | 1 | 0 | 0 | [212] | |
Dominica | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Djibouti | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Eritrea | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Grenada | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Mozambique | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Papua New Guinea | 1 | 0 | 0 | [213] | |
St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Somalia | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
Syria | 1 | 0 | 0 | [214] | |
East Timor | 1 | 0 | 0 | [215] | |
Uganda | 1 | 0 | 0 | [216] | |
Vatican City | 1 | 0 | 0 | [35] | |
As of 23 March 2020 (UTC) · History of cases: China, international | |||||
Notes
|
Health authorities in Wuhan, the capital of Hubei province, China, reported a cluster of pneumonia cases of unknown cause on 31 December 2019,[217] and an investigation was launched in early January 2020.[218] The cases mostly had links to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market and so the virus is thought to have a zoonotic origin.[219] The virus that caused the outbreak is known as SARS-CoV-2, a newly discovered virus closely related to bat coronaviruses,[220] pangolin coronaviruses[221] and SARS-CoV.[222]
The earliest person with symptoms was traced back to 1 December 2019, someone who did not have connections with the later cluster linked to the wet market.[223][224] Of the early cluster of cases reported in December 2019, two-thirds were found to have a link with the market.[1][225][226] On 14 March 2020, an unverified report from the South China Morning Post said that a 55-year-old from Hubei province could have been the first person who contracted the disease, on 17 November.[227][228]
On 26 February 2020, the WHO reported that, as new cases reportedly dropped in China but suddenly increased in Italy, Iran, and South Korea, the number of new cases outside China had exceeded the number of new cases in China for the first time.[229] There may be substantial underreporting of cases, particularly those with milder symptoms.[230][231] By 26 February, relatively few cases have been reported among youth, with those 19 and under making up 2.4% of cases worldwide.[10][232]
Government sources in Germany and the UK estimate that 60–70% of the population will need to become infected before effective herd immunity can be achieved.[233][234][235]
Deaths
The crude mortality ratio (reported deaths divided by reported cases) is 3 to 4%, according to the World Health Organization, as of 6 March 2020.[236] The reported rate varies by country, age, and other health problems.[237]
The time from development of symptoms to death has been between 6 and 41 days, with the most common being 14 days.[10] By 21 March more than 11,400 deaths had been attributed to COVID-19.[238] Most of those who have died were elderly—about 80% of deaths were in those over 60, and 75% had pre-existing health conditions including cardiovascular diseases and diabetes.[239]
The first confirmed death was on 9 January 2020 in Wuhan.[240] The first death outside China occurred on 1 February in the Philippines,[241][242] and the first death outside Asia was in France on 14 February.[243] By 28 February, outside mainland China, more than a dozen deaths each were recorded in Iran, South Korea, and Italy.[244][245][246] By 13 March, over 40 countries and territories had reported deaths, on every continent except Antarctica.[247]
Diagrams
Total confirmed cases of COVID-19 per million people, 20 March 2020[255]
Growth in total confirmed cases
====================================================
DIAGRAM - 04
Epidemic curve of COVID-19 by date of report
======================================================
DIAGRAM - 05
Epidemic curve of COVID-19 by date of report
======================================================
DIAGRAM - 06
Semi-log plot of daily new confirmed cases by region: Hubei Province, mainland China excluding Hubei, the rest of the world (ROW), and the world total[257][258]
=========================================================
DIAGRAM - 07
Semi-log plot of coronavirus daily deaths by region: Hubei Province, mainland China excluding Hubei, the rest of the world (ROW), and the world total[257][258]
====================================================================
DIAGRAM - 08
Semi-log plot of cases in some countries with high growth rates (post-China) with doubling times and three-day projections based on the exponential growth rates
=============================================================
Signs and symptoms
Symptom[256] | % |
---|---|
Fever | 87.9% |
Dry cough | 67.7% |
Fatigue | 38.1% |
Sputum production | 33.4% |
Anosmia (loss of smell)[257] | 30-66% |
Shortness of breath | 18.6% |
Muscle pain or joint pain | 14.8% |
Sore throat | 13.9% |
Headache | 13.6% |
Chills | 11.4% |
Nausea or vomiting | 5.0% |
Nasal congestion | 4.8% |
Diarrhoea | 3.7% |
Haemoptysis | 0.9% |
Conjunctival congestion | 0.8% |
COVID-19 symptoms
Cause
Transmission
They also tested SARS-CoV-2 on plastic, stainless steel, copper, and cardboard, and found that although SARS-CoV-2 decayed exponentially over time in all five environments they tested, the virus was viable for infection for up to three days on plastic and stainless steel, for one day on cardboard, and for up to four hours on copper.[273][274][275]
A survey of research on the inactivation of other coronaviruses using various biocidal agents suggests that disinfecting surfaces contaminated with SARS-CoV-2 may also be achieved using similar solutions (within one minute of exposure on a stainless steel surface), including 62–71% ethanol, 50–100% isopropanol, 0.1% sodium hypochlorite, 0.5% hydrogen peroxide, and 0.2–7.5% povidone-iodine; benzalkonium chloride and chlorhexidine gluconate are less effective.[269]
The WHO has stated that the risk of spread from someone without symptoms is "very low". However, if someone has early symptoms and a mild cough, there is a risk of transmission.[276] An analysis of infections in Singapore and Tianjin, China revealed that coronavirus infections may be spread by people who have recently caught the virus and have not yet begun to show symptoms, unlike other coronaviruses such as SARS.[277][278]
Estimates of the basic reproduction number (the average number of people an infected person is likely to infect) range from 2.13[279] to 4.82.[280][281] This is similar to the measure typical of severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV).[282]
Virology
Illustration of SARSr-CoV virion
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, first isolated from three people with pneumonia connected to the cluster of acute respiratory illness cases in Wuhan.[219] All features of the novel SARS-CoV-2 virus occur in related coronaviruses in nature.[280]
SARS-CoV-2 is closely related to the original SARS-CoV.[281] It is thought to have a zoonotic origin. Genetic analysis has revealed that the coronavirus genetically clusters with the genus Betacoronavirus, in subgenus Sarbecovirus (lineage B) together with two bat-derived strains. It is 96% identical at the whole genome level to other bat coronavirus samples (BatCov RaTG13).[252][282] In February 2020, Chinese researchers found that there is only one amino acid difference in certain parts of the genome sequences between the viruses from pangolins and those from humans, however, whole genome comparison to date found at most 92% of genetic material shared between pangolin coronavirus and SARS-CoV-2, which is insufficient to prove pangolins to be the intermediate host.[283]
Diagnosis
Infection by the virus can be provisionally diagnosed on the basis of symptoms, though confirmation is ultimately by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) of infected secretions (71% sensitivity) and CT imaging (98% sensitivity).[284]
Viral testing
The WHO has published several RNA testing protocols for SARS-CoV-2, with the first issued on 17 January.[285][286][287][288] Testing uses real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR).[289] The test can be done on respiratory or blood samples.[290] Results are generally available within a few hours to days.[291][292]
A person is considered at risk if they have travelled to an area with ongoing community transmission within the previous 14 days, or have had close contact with an infected person. Common key indicators include fever, coughing and shortness of breath. Other possible indicators include fatigue, myalgia, anorexia, sputum production and sore throat.[293]
Imaging
Characteristic imaging features on radiographs and computed tomography have been described in a limited case series.[294] The Italian Radiological Society is compiling an international online database of imaging findings for confirmed cases.[295] Due to overlap with other infections such as adenovirus, imaging without confirmation by PCR is of limited use in identifying COVID-19.[294] A larger[clarification needed] comparing chest CT results to PCR has suggested that though imaging is less specific for the infection, it is significantly faster and more sensitive, suggesting that it may be considered as a screening tool in epidemic areas.[296]
Prevention
Infographic by the United States CDC, describing how to stop the spread of germs.
Strategies for preventing transmission of the disease include overall good personal hygiene, hand washing, avoiding touching the eyes, nose or mouth with unwashed hands, coughing/sneezing into a tissue and putting the tissue directly into a dustbin. Those who may already have the infection have been advised to wear a surgical mask in public.[297][298][299] Social distancing measures are also recommended to prevent transmission.[300][301]
Many governments have restricted or advised against all non-essential travel to and from countries and areas affected by the outbreak.[302] However, the virus has reached the stage of community spread in large parts of the world. This means that the virus is spreading within communities whose members have not travelled to areas with widespread transmission.[citation needed]
Health care providers taking care of someone who may be infected are recommended to use standard precautions, contact precautions and airborne precautions with eye protection.[303]
Contact tracing is an important method for health authorities to determine the source of an infection and to prevent further transmission.[304] Misconceptions are circulating about how to prevent infection, for example: rinsing the nose and gargling with mouthwash are not effective.[305] As of 13 March 2020, there is no COVID-19 vaccine, though a number of organizations are working to develop one.[306]
Hand washing
Hand washing is recommended to prevent the spread of the disease. The CDC recommends that people wash hands often with soap and water for at least 20 seconds, especially after going to the toilet or when hands are visibly dirty; before eating; and after blowing one's nose, coughing, or sneezing. It further recommended using an alcohol-based hand sanitizer with at least 60% alcohol by volume when soap and water are not readily available.[297] The WHO advises people to avoid touching the eyes, nose, or mouth with unwashed hands.[298][307]
Respiratory hygiene
Health organizations recommended that people cover their mouth and nose with a bent elbow or a tissue when coughing or sneezing (the tissue should then be disposed of immediately).[298][308] Surgical masks are recommended for those who may be infected,[309][310][311] as wearing a mask can limit the volume and travel distance of expiratory droplets dispersed when talking, sneezing and coughing.[312] The WHO has issued instructions on when and how to use masks.[313]
Masks have also been recommended for use by those taking care of someone who may have the disease.[311] WHO has recommended the wearing of masks by healthy people only if they are at high risk, such as those who are caring for a person with COVID-19, although masks may help people avoid touching their faces.[311]
China has specifically recommended the use of disposable medical masks by healthy members of the public.[314][250][312][315] Hong Kong recommends wearing a surgical mask when taking public transport or staying in crowded places.[316] Thailand's health officials are encouraging people to make face masks at home out of cloth and wash them daily.[317] The Czech Republic banned going out in public without wearing a mask or covering one's nose and mouth.[318] Face masks have also been widely used by healthy people in Taiwan,[319][320] Japan,[321] South Korea,[322] Malaysia,[323] Singapore,[324][325] and Hong Kong.[326]
Social distancing
Social distancing includes infection control actions intended to slow the spread of disease by minimizing close contact between individuals. Methods include quarantines; travel restrictions; and the closing of schools, workplaces, stadiums, theatres, or shopping centres. Individuals may apply social distancing methods by staying at home, limiting travel, avoiding crowded areas, using no-contact greetings, and physically distancing themselves from others.[327][328] Many governments are now mandating or recommending social distancing in regions affected by the outbreak.[329][330] Allowed gathering size was swiftly reducing from 250 people (if there was no known COVID-19 spread in a region) to 50 people, and later to 10 people.[331] On 22 March 2020, Germany banned public gatherings of more than two people.[332]
Older adults and those with underlying medical conditions such as diabetes, heart disease, respiratory disease, hypertension, and compromised immune systems face increased risk of serious illness and complications and have been advised by the US CDC to stay home as much as possible in areas of community outbreak.[333][334]
Self-isolation
Transmission of COVID depends on many factors, and the basic reproduction number can be lowered by engaging in outbreak prevention measures such as social distancing and self-isolation upon experiencing symptoms.
Self-isolation at home has been recommended for those diagnosed with COVID-19 and those who suspect they have been infected. Health agencies have issued detailed instructions for proper self-isolation.[335][336]
Additionally, many governments have mandated or recommended self-quarantine for entire populations living in affected areas.[337][338] The strongest self-quarantine instructions have been issued to those in high risk groups. Those who may have been exposed to someone with COVID-19 and those who have recently travelled to a country with widespread transmission have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days from the time of last possible exposure.[6][8][339]
Management
Outbreak
The goal of community mitigation, (1) delay outbreak peak (2) decompress peak burden on healthcare, known as flattening the curve (3) diminish overall cases[disputed ] and health impact.[331][332
There are a number of strategies in the control of an outbreak: containment, mitigation, and suppression. Containment is undertaken in the early stages of the outbreak and aims to trace and isolate those infected as well as other measures of infection control and vaccinations to stop the disease from spreading to the rest of the population. When it is no longer possible to contain the spread of the disease, efforts then move to the mitigation stage, when measures are taken to slow the spread and mitigate its effects on the health care system and society. A combination of both containment and mitigation measures may be undertaken at the same time.[333] Suppression requires more extreme measures so as to reverse the pandemic by reducing the basic reproduction number to less than 1.[334]
Part of managing an infectious disease outbreak is trying to decrease the epidemic peak, known as flattening the epidemic curve.[331] This decreases the risk of health services being overwhelmed and provides more time for vaccines and treatments to be developed.[331] Non-pharmaceutical interventions that may manage the outbreak include personal preventive measures, such as hand hygiene, wearing face-masks and self-quarantine; community measures aimed at physical distancing such as closing schools and cancelling mass gathering events; community engagement to encourage acceptance and participation in such interventions; as well as environmental measures such surface cleaning.[335]
More drastic actions aim at suppressing the outbreak were taken in China once the severity of the outbreak became apparent, such as quarantining entire cities affecting 60 million individuals in Hubei, and strict travel bans.[336] Other countries adopted a variety of measures aimed at limiting the spread of the virus. For example, South Korea introduced mass screening, localized quarantines, and issuing alerts on the movements of affected individuals. Singapore provided financial support for those infected who quarantine themselves and imposed large fines for those who failed to do so. Taiwan increased face-mask production and penalized hoarding of medical supplies.[337] Some countries require people to report flu-like symptoms to their doctor, especially if they have visited mainland China.[338]
Simulations for Great Britain and the US show that mitigation (slowing but not stopping epidemic spread), as well as suppression (reversing epidemic growth), has major challenges. Optimal mitigation policies might reduce peak healthcare demand by 2/3 and deaths by half, still resulting in hundreds of thousands of deaths and health systems being overwhelmed. Suppression can be preferred but need to be maintained until a vaccine becomes available (at least 18 months later) as transmission quickly rebounds when relaxed, while long-term intervention causes social and economic costs.[334]
Illness
There are no specific antiviral medications approved for COVID-19, but development efforts are underway, including testing of existing medications. Attempts to relieve the symptoms may include taking regular (over-the-counter) cold medications,[339] drinking fluids, and resting.[286] Depending on the severity, oxygen therapy, intravenous fluids and breathing support may be required.[340] The use of steroids may worsen outcomes.[341] Several compounds, which were previously approved for treatment of other viral diseases, are being investigated.[342]
History
Patient zero is the term used to describe the first-ever case of a disease.[343] There have been various theories as to where the "patient zero" case may have originated.[343] The first known case of the novel coronavirus was traced back to 1 December 2019 in Wuhan, Hubei, China.[217] A later unconfirmed claim, citing Chinese government documents, suggests that the first victim was a 55-year-old man who fell ill on 17 November 2019.[344][under discussion] Within the next month, the number of coronavirus cases in Hubei gradually increased to a couple of hundred, before rapidly increasing in January 2020. On 31 December 2019, the virus had caused enough cases of unknown pneumonia to be reported to health authorities in Wuhan, the capital of Hubei province,[211] to trigger an investigation.[212] These were mostly linked to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, which also sold live animals; thus the virus is thought to have a zoonotic origin.[213]
During the early stages, the number of cases doubled approximately every seven and a half days.[345] In early and mid-January 2020, the virus spread to other Chinese provinces, helped by the Chinese New Year migration, with Wuhan being a transport hub and major rail interchange, and infections quickly spread throughout the country.[254] On 20 January, China reported nearly 140 new cases in one day, including two people in Beijing and one in Shenzhen.[346] Later official data shows that 6,174 people had already developed symptoms by 20 January 2020.[347]
On 30 January, the WHO declared the outbreak to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.[348] On 24 February, WHO director Tedros Adhanom warned that the virus could become a global pandemic because of the increasing number of cases outside China.[349]
On 11 March, the WHO officially declared the coronavirus outbreak to be a pandemic, following a period of sustained community-level transmission in multiple regions of the world.[5] On 13 March, the WHO declared Europe to be the new centre of the pandemic after the rate of new European cases surpassed that of regions of the world apart from China.[350] By 16 March 2020, the total number of cases reported around the world outside China had exceeded that of mainland China.[351] On 19 March 2020, China reported no new domestic cases (excluding cases re-imported from abroad) for the first time since the outbreak, while the total number of deaths in Italy surpassed that of China.[352]
As of 23 March 2020, over 368,000 cases have been reported worldwide; more than 16,300 people have died and over 101,000 have recovered.[2][3]
Domestic responses
Coronavirus quarantines outside China
| |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Country | Place | State/Province | Start date | End date | Level |
Argentina | 2020-03-19[353] | 2020-03-31 | National | ||
Australia | 2020-03-23[354] | National | |||
Austria | 2020-03-16[355] | 2020-04-13[356] | National | ||
Belgium | 2020-03-18[357] | 2020-04-05 | National | ||
Brazil | Santa Catarina | 2020-03-17[358] | 2020-03-31 | State | |
São Paulo | 2020-03-24[359] | 2020-04-07 | State | ||
Colombia | 2020-03-25[360] | 2020-04-13 | National | ||
Czech Republic | 2020-03-16[361] | 2020-03-24 | National | ||
Denmark | 2020-03-11[362] | National | |||
El Salvador | 2020-03-12[363] | 2020-04-01 | National | ||
Fiji | Lautoka | 2020-03-20[364] | City | ||
France | 2020-03-17[365] | 2020-04-01 | National | ||
Germany | Bavaria | 2020-03-20[366] | 2020-04-03 | State | |
Freiburg | Baden-Württemberg | 2020-03-21[367] | 2020-04-03 | City | |
Greece | 2020-03-23[368] | 2020-04-06[369] | National | ||
Honduras | 2020-03-17[370] | 2020-03-29 | National | ||
Ireland | 2020-03-12[371] | 2020-03-29 | National | ||
Italy | 2020-03-09[372] | 2020-04-03 | National | ||
Lebanon | 2020-03-15[373] | 2020-03-29 | National | ||
Malaysia | 2020-03-18[374] | 2020-03-31 | National | ||
Morocco | 2020-03-19[375] | National | |||
Philippines | Luzon | 2020-03-15[376] | 2020-04-14 | Island group | |
Poland | 2020-03-13[377] | National | |||
Spain | 2020-03-14[378] | 2020-04-11[379] | National | ||
Tunisia | 2020-03-22[380] | National | |||
United States | California | 2020-03-19[381] | 2020-03-29 | State | |
Clark County | Nevada | 2020-03-20[382] | 2020-04-20 | County | |
Connecticut | 2020-03-23[383] | 2020-03-29 | State | ||
Illinois | 2020-03-21[384] | 2020-04-07 | State | ||
Massachusetts | 2020-03-24[385] | 2020-04-07 | State | ||
Michigan | 2020-03-24[386] | 2020-04-14 | State | ||
New York | 2020-03-20[387] | 2020-03-29 | State | ||
Oregon | 2020-03-24[388] | State | |||
United Kingdom | 2020-03-23[389] | 2020-04-13 | National | ||
Venezuela | 2020-03-17[390] | National | |||
Outbreak ongoing: Quarantine data as of March 24, 2020 |
Chin
China
The first person known to have fallen ill due to the new virus was traced back to 1 December 2019 in Wuhan.[220] Doctor Zhang Jixian observed a cluster of unknown pneumonia on 26 December, and her hospital informed Wuhan Jianghan CDC on 27 December.[490] A public notice on the outbreak was released by Wuhan Municipal Health Commission on 31 December.[491] WHO was informed of the outbreak on the same day.[214] At the same time these notifications were happening, doctors in Wuhan were being threatened by policy for sharing information about the outbreak.[492] Chinese National Health Commission initially said that they had no "clear evidence" of human-to-human transmissions.[493]
Temporary hospital for treating mild COVID-19 patients in Wuhan, converted from Tazihu Sports Centre. There were more than 10 temporary hospitals like this in Wuhan. Each of them could accommodate hundreds of mild patients. After these hospitals had come into operation, the epidemic in Wuhan eased.[494][495]
The Chinese Communist Party launched a radical campaign described by the Party general secretary Xi Jinping as a "people's war" to contain the spread of the virus.[496] In what has been described as "the largest quarantine in human history",[497] a quarantine was announced on 23 January stopping travel in and out of Wuhan,[498] which was extended to a total of 15 cities in Hubei, affecting a total of about 57 million people.[499] Private vehicle use was banned in the city.[500] Chinese New Year (25 January) celebrations were cancelled in many places.[501] The authorities also announced the construction of a temporary hospital, Huoshenshan Hospital, which was completed in 10 days, and 14 temporary hospitals were constructed in China in total.[502]
On 26 January, the Communist Party and the government instituted further measures to contain the COVID-19 outbreak, including health declarations for travellers and changes to national holidays.[503] The leading group decided to extend the Spring Festival holiday to contain the outbreak.[504] Universities and schools around the country were also closed.[505][506][507] The regions of Hong Kong and Macau instituted several measures, particularly in regard to schools and universities.[508] Remote working measures were instituted in several Chinese regions.[509] Travel restrictions were enacted.[509][510] Other provinces and cities outside Hubei imposed travel restrictions. Public transport was modified,[511][509] and museums throughout China were temporarily closed.[512][513] Control of movement of people was applied in many cities, and it has been estimated that about 760 million people (more than half the population) faced some form of outdoor restriction.[514]
After the outbreak entered its global phase in March, many Chinese students studying in Europe and the United States have returned home as the domestic daily new cases in China declined. Chinese authorities have taken strict measures to prevent the virus from "importing" from other countries. For example, Beijing has imposed a 14-day mandatory quarantine for all international travellers entering the city.[515]
The early response by the Wuhan authorities was criticized as prioritizing control of information that might be unfavourable for local officials over public safety, and the Chinese government was also criticized for cover-ups and downplaying the initial discovery and severity of the outbreak.[516] In early January 2020, Wuhan police summoned and "admonished" several doctors—including Li Wenliang, an ophthalmologist at Wuhan Central Hospital—for "spreading rumours" likening the disease to SARS.[517] Li later died because of the virus.[518] Later in March, Wuhan police apologized to Li's family after National Supervisory Commission admitted the conduct of local officials was inadequate and acknowledged the whistleblower's effort on raising public awareness.[519][520] Observers have also blamed the institutional censorship that left the citizens and senior officials with inaccurate information on the outbreak and "contributed to a prolonged period of inaction that allowed the virus to spread".[521] Some experts doubted the accuracy of the number of cases reported by the Chinese government, which repeatedly changed how it counted coronavirus cases, while others say it wasn’t likely a deliberate attempt to manipulate the data.[522][523][524] The Chinese government has also been accused of rejecting help from the US CDC and the WHO.[525]
Although criticisms have been levelled at the aggressive response of China to control the outbreak,[526] China's actions have also been praised by some foreign leaders such as US President Donald Trump, and Russian president Vladimir Putin.[527][528] Trump later reversed himself, saying "I wish they could have told us earlier about what was going on inside," adding that China "was very secretive, and that's unfortunate".[529] The director of WHO Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus congratulated Chinese government "for the extraordinary measures it has taken to contain the outbreak",[530] and a later WHO report described China's response as "perhaps the most ambitious, agile and aggressive disease containment effort in history".[531] According to a media report on 16 March, the economy in China was very hard hit in the first two months of 2020 due to the measures taken by the government to curtail virus spread, and retail sales plunged 20.5%.[532] Per media reports, on 23 March mainland China has gone five days with only one case transmitted domestically, in this instance via a traveller returning to Guangzhou from Istanbul.[533][534][535]
On 24 March 2020, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang reported that spread of domestically transmitted epidemic has been basically blocked and the outbreak has been controlled in China.[536]
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