Wednesday, March 25, 2020

SER 04 / (A) OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases) - 2019-2020 CORNAVIRUS PANDEMIC

SOURCE:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_pandemic



INDEX

SER 12  (D)  OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases) VIRUS WAR

SER 12  (C)  OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases) VIRUS WAR


SER 12  (B)  OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)  VIRUS WAR
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/ser-12-b-of-x-serials-infectious.html



SER 12  (A)  OF X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)  VIRUS WAR
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/ser-12-of-x-serials-infectious-diseases_16.html



SER  11  OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)



SER 09  OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/save-lives-ready-shovels.html


SER 08   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/the-impossible-ethics-of-pandemic-triage.html


SER 07   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/04/how-it-will-end.html



 SER 06 ( B )   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)

 SER 06 (A )   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)



SER 05   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)




SER 04 / (C)   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/ser-04-c-of-x-serials-infectious_27.html


SER 04 / (B)   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)

https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/2019-2020-cornavirus-pandemic_26.html

 SER 04 / (A)   OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/2019-2020-cornavirus-pandemic.html


SER 03 OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)

https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/novel-coronavirus-covid-19.html

 SER 02 OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/history-in-crisis-lessons-for-covid-19.html

 SER 01 OF   X SERIALS (Infectious Diseases)
https://bcvasundhra.blogspot.com/2020/03/infectious-diseases-infectious-diseases.html













This page was last edited on 

23 March 2020, at 12:54 (UTC).




                    [ Page  01  OF  03 Pages ]


                  2019-2020    CORNAVIRUS PANDEMIC

                                 From Wikipedia, the free encycloped

  "Coronavirus outbreak" redirects here. For other outbreaks of coronaviruses, see Coronavirus § Outbreaks

   
COVID-19 Outbreak World Map per Capita.svg



Map of confirmed cases per capita as of 23 March 2020
   > 1 case per 1,000 inhabitants
   1–10 cases per 10,000 inhabitants
   1–10 cases per 100,000 inhabitants
   1–10 cases per 1 million inhabitants
   1–10 cases per 10 million inhabitants
   1–10 cases per 100 million inhabitants
   No confirmed cases
2019–20 coronavirus pandemic



Total confirmed cases map

Deaths per capita map

Cases per capita timeline (slidable)
Coronavirus patients on ventilators at the Imam Khomeini Hospital in Tehran, Iran
Meeting of the Italian government task force to face the coronavirus outbreak, 23 February 2020
Taiwanese 33rd Chemical Corps spraying disinfectant on a street in Taipei
Passengers at Linate Airport in Milan have their temperatures taken
Almost empty supermarket aisle in Melbourne, Australia
(clockwise from top)
DiseaseCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Virus strainSevere acute respiratory syndrome
coronavirus 2
 (SARS-CoV-2)
LocationWorldwide (list of locations)
First caseWuhan, Hubei, China
30°37′11″N 114°15′28″E
Date1 December 2019 – present[1]
(3 months and 3 weeks)
Confirmed cases352,000+[2][3]
Recovered100,000+[2][3]
Deaths
15,300+[2][3]
Territories
190+[2


The 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic is an ongoing pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).[4] The outbreak was first identified in WuhanHubeiChina, in December 2019, and was recognised as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on 11 March 2020.[5] As of 23 March, more than 350,000 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in over 190 countries and territories, resulting in more than 15,300 deaths and over 100,000 recoveries.[2][3]


The virus is typically spread from one person to another via respiratory droplets produced during coughing.[6][7] Primarily, it spreads when people are in close contact but it may also spread when one touches a contaminated surface and then their eyes, nose or mouth.[8] It is most contagious when people are symptomatic, although spread may be possible before symptoms appear.[9] The time between exposure and symptom onset is typically around five days, but may range from two to fourteen days.[7][10] Common symptoms include fevercough, and shortness of breath.[7][10] Complications may include pneumonia and acute respiratory distress syndrome. There is no vaccine or specific antiviral treatment. Primary treatment is symptomatic and supportive therapy. Recommended preventive measures include hand washing, covering the mouth when coughing, maintaining distance from other people, and monitoring and self-isolation for people who suspect they are infected.[8][7][11]


Efforts to prevent the virus spreading include travel restrictions, quarantinescurfews, event postponements and cancellations, and facility closures. These include a quarantine of Hubei, nationwide quarantines in Italy and elsewhere in Europe, curfew measures elsewhere in China and South Korea,[12][13][14] various border closures or incoming passenger restrictions,[15][16] screening at airports and train stations,[17] and travel advisories regarding regions with community transmission.[18][19][20][21] Schools and universities have closed either on a nationwide or local basis in over 124 countries, affecting more than 1.2 billion students.[22]

The pandemic has led to global socioeconomic disruption,[23] the postponement or cancellation of sporting, religious and cultural events,[24] and widespread fears of supply shortages which have spurred panic buying.[25][26] Misinformation and conspiracy theories about the virus have spread online,[27][28] as during the time of 2009 flu pandemic lots more people were infected and died yet the mass hysteria seen for Coronavirus wasn't there [29] and there have been incidents of xenophobia and racism against Chinese and other East or Southeast Asian people.[30]




Epidemiology

Locations[a]Cases[b]DeathsRecov.[c]Ref.
175349,80715,307100,345
China (mainland)[d]81,0933,27072,703[31]
Italy[e]59,1385,4767,024[34]
United States[f]35,418473175[36][35]
Spain33,0892,1823,355[37]
Germany26,220111266[38]
Iran[g]21,6381,8127,913[39][40]
France[h]16,0186742,200[41][35]
South Korea8,9611113,166[42]
Switzerland[i]8,249107131[43][44]
United Kingdom[j]5,702282140[49][50]
Netherlands[k]4,216180[52]
Austria3,784169[53][54]
Belgium3,74388350[55]
Norway[l]2,4158[56]
Portugal2,0602314[58]
Sweden[m]1,9342416[59][60]
Australia[n]1,709788[35][61]
Brazil1,619252[35][62]
Denmark[o]1,57213[63]
Malaysia1,51814159[66][67]
Canada1,4722118[68]
Israel1,238137[69]
Turkey1,236300[70]
Czech Republic1,16516[71]
Japan1,10141235[35][72]
Ireland90645[73]
Pakistan80366[74]
Luxembourg79886[75]
Ecuador789143[76]
Thailand721152[77][78]
Cruise ship side view.svgDiamond Princess[p]7129574[79][80]
Poland64971[81][82]
Chile63218[83][84]
Finland[q]626110[35][88]
Greece6241719[89]
Indonesia5794930[90][91]
Romania576573[92]
Iceland568136[93]
Saudi Arabia511018[94]
Singapore5092152[95][96]
Qatar494033[97]
Philippines4623318[98]
Russia[r]438017[102]
India433724[103]
Slovenia4143[104]
South Africa40202[105]
Peru36351[106]
Hong Kong3564100[107]
Estonia35204[108]
Bahrain3392160[109]
Egypt[s]3271456[110]
Mexico31624[35][111]
Panama31331[112][113]
Croatia30605[114]
Argentina266427[115]
Iraq2662362[116]
Lebanon25648[117][118]
Colombia23523[119][120]
Serbia22222[121][35]
Dominican Republic20230[122]
Algeria2011765[35]
Taiwan195229[123][124]
Armenia19402[35]
Kuwait189030[125][126]
Bulgaria18733[127]
Slovakia18507[128][129]
Latvia18001[35][130]
San Marino175204[131]
Hungary167716[132]
Lithuania15411[133]
United Arab Emirates153238[134][135]
North Macedonia13621[136][137]
Uruguay13500[35][138]
Costa Rica13422[139][35]
Morocco13443[140]
Bosnia and Herzegovina12812[35]
Vietnam122017[141]
Andorra11211[142]
Jordan11201[35][143]
Malta10702[144]
New Zealand10200[145]
Burkina Faso9945[146]
Moldova9412[147]
Brunei9102[148]
Albania8923[149]
Tunisia8931[35]
Cambodia8602[150][151]
Sri Lanka8603[152][153]
Belarus81022[154][155]
Venezuela77015[156]
Cyprus[t]7500[35]
Ukraine7331[157]
Azerbaijan72110[158]
Senegal6705[35][159]
Oman66017[160]
Kazakhstan6200[161]
Palestine59017[162]
Cameroon5602[35]
Georgia5408[163][164]
Trinidad and Tobago5000[35][165]
Liechtenstein4600[166]
Uzbekistan4300[35]
Afghanistan4011[35]
Northern Cyprus3803[167]
Nigeria3612[168][169]
Cuba[u]3510[170]
Kosovo3100[171]
DR Congo3020[172]
Bangladesh2723[173]
Honduras2600[174]
Ivory Coast2501[175]
Bolivia2400[176]
Ghana2410[177][35]
Mauritius2420[178]
Monaco2301[179][35]
Montenegro2210[180][35]
Paraguay2210[181][182]
Guernsey2000[183]
Guatemala1910[35]
Jamaica1912[35][184]
Macau19010[185]
Rwanda1900[35]
Togo1800[186][35]
Jersey1500[183]
Kenya1500[187]
Barbados1400[188]
Kyrgyzstan1400[189]
Maldives1303[190]
Madagascar1200[191]
Tanzania1200[192]
Ethiopia1100[35]
Mongolia1000[35]
Seychelles700[193]
Equatorial Guinea600[35]
Gabon510[35]
Guyana510[194]
Isle of Man500[195]
Suriname500[196]
Bahamas400[197]
Eswatini400[198]
Guinea401[35][199]
Cape Verde300[200]
Central African Republic300[35]
Republic of the Congo300[201]
El Salvador300[202]
Liberia300[35][203]
Namibia300[35]
Zambia300[35]
Zimbabwe300[35]
Angola200[204]
Benin200[35]
Bhutan200[35]
Fiji300[205]
Gambia210[35][206]
Haiti200[207]
Mauritania200[208]
Nepal201[209][35]
Nicaragua200[210]
Niger200[211]
Saint Lucia200[35]
Sudan210[35]
Antigua and Barbuda100[35]
Chad100[212]
Dominica100[35]
Djibouti100[35]
Eritrea100[35]
Grenada100[35]
Mozambique100[35]
Papua New Guinea100[213]
St. Vincent and the Grenadines100[35]
Somalia100[35]
Syria100[214]
East Timor100[215]
Uganda100[216]
Vatican City100[35]
As of 23 March 2020 (UTC) · History of cases: Chinainternational
Notes
  1. ^ Countries and territories, and one international conveyance where cases were diagnosed. Nationality and location of original infection may vary. In some countries, the cases cover several territories, as noted accordingly.
  2. ^ Reported cumulative confirmed cases. The actual number of infections and cases are likely higher than reported, but impossible to ascertain.
  3. ^ Recovered cases. All recoveries may not be reported. "–" denotes that no reliable data is currently available for that territory, not that the value is zero.
  4. ^ China
    Includes clinically diagnosed cases and deaths from 12 February 2020 and onwards in the province of Hubei.
  5. ^ Italy
    Only at-risk people showing symptoms have been tested from 27 February 2020 and onwards.[32][33]
  6. ^ United States
    1. Includes 56 cases in the US territories:
     • Guam (27 cases)[35]
     • Puerto Rico (23 cases)[35]
     • the U.S. Virgin Islands (6 cases)[35]
    as well as cases identified on the Grand Princess.
    2. Data is from unofficial trackers and not from the official Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
  7. ^ Iran
    Due to a shortage of resources, testing is restricted to severe cases.[citation needed] Includes clinically diagnosed cases and deaths from 9 March 2020 and onwards.
  8. ^ France
    Includes 169 cases and 2 deaths in overseas regions:
     • French Guiana (18 cases)[35]
     • Guadeloupe (56 cases; 1 death)[35]
     • Martinique (37 cases; 1 death)[35]
     • Mayotte (11 cases)[35]
     • Réunion (47 cases)[35]
    and 27 cases in collectivities:
     • French Polynesia (15 cases)[35]
     • New Caledonia (4 cases)[35]
     • Saint Barthélemy (3 cases)[35]
     • Saint Martin (5 cases)[35]
  9. ^ Switzerland
    While there are more positive cases in Switzerland, the figure reported here is only the number of confirmed cases.
  10. ^ United Kingdom
    Includes a further 19 cases, 1 death and 5 recoveries in the British Overseas Territories, not counted in the UK government sources:
     • Akrotiri and Dhekelia (3 cases)[45]
     • Bermuda (2 cases)[46]
     • The Cayman Islands (3 cases; 1 death)[47]
     • Gibraltar (10 cases; 5 recoveries)[48]
     • Montserrat (1 case)[35]
  11. ^ Netherlands
    1. Includes 12 cases and 1 death in constituent countries of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in the Caribbean:
     • Aruba (8 cases)[35]
     • Curaçao (3 cases; 1 death)[35]
     • Sint Maarten (1 case)[35]
    2. The Dutch Government agency RIVM, responsible for the constituent country the Netherlands, does not count its number of recoveries.[51]
  12. ^ Norway
    1. From 13 March 2020, testing of the normal population was discontinued, and is now only reserved for health professionals and acutely ill people in vulnerable groups.
    2. The Norwegian Institute of Public Health states that there are more infected people in Norway than the figures show. The dark figures are presumed to be higher because of limited testing.[56] Nevertheless, the total number of tests per capita was as of 20 March comparatively high in Norway.[57]
  13. ^ Sweden
    Testing of suspected infections has been cut back in the whole country in the period around 12 March 2020, in order to focus efforts on people with increased risk of serious illness and complications.
  14. ^ Australia
    Excluding the cases from Diamond Princess cruise ship which are classified as "on an international conveyance". Ten cases, including one fatality recorded by the Australian government.
  15. ^ Denmark
    1. Includes 124 cases in constituent countries of the Kingdom of Denmark:
     • Faroe Islands (118 cases, 0 deaths)[63]
     • Greenland (4 cases, 0 deaths)[63]
    2. The Danish Government does not report the number of recoveries.[64]
    3. From 12 March 2020, the criteria for testing has been changed; only people with more serious symptoms and health professionals are being tested.[65]
  16. ^ Diamond Princess
    The British cruise ship Diamond Princess was in Japanese waters, and Japanese administration was asked to manage its quarantine, with the passengers having not entered Japan. Therefore, this case is neither included in the Japanese government's official count nor in United Kingdom's one. The World Health Organization classifies the cases as being located "on an international conveyance".
  17. ^ Finland
    1. Includes 2 cases in the autonomous region of Åland Islands.[85]
    2. Testing is limited to severely ill or at-risk patients and social or health care workers.[86][87]
  18. ^ Russia
    Excluding the cases from Diamond Princess cruise ship which are classified as "on an international conveyance". One fatality was not officially recorded by the Russian authorities as caused by coronavirus.[99][100][101]
  19. ^ Egypt
    Includes cases identified on the MS River Anuket.
  20. ^ Cyprus
    Excluding Northern Cyprus.
  21. ^ Cuba
    Includes cases on the MS Braemar.


























Health authorities in Wuhan, the capital of Hubei province, China, reported a cluster of pneumonia cases of unknown cause on 31 December 2019,[217] and an investigation was launched in early January 2020.[218] The cases mostly had links to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market and so the virus is thought to have a zoonotic origin.[219] The virus that caused the outbreak is known as SARS-CoV-2, a newly discovered virus closely related to bat coronaviruses,[220] pangolin coronaviruses[221] and SARS-CoV.[222]

The earliest person with symptoms was traced back to 1 December 2019, someone who did not have connections with the later cluster linked to the wet market.[223][224] Of the early cluster of cases reported in December 2019, two-thirds were found to have a link with the market.[1][225][226] On 14 March 2020, an unverified report from the South China Morning Post said that a 55-year-old from Hubei province could have been the first person who contracted the disease, on 17 November.[227][228]

On 26 February 2020, the WHO reported that, as new cases reportedly dropped in China but suddenly increased in Italy, Iran, and South Korea, the number of new cases outside China had exceeded the number of new cases in China for the first time.[229] There may be substantial underreporting of cases, particularly those with milder symptoms.[230][231] By 26 February, relatively few cases have been reported among youth, with those 19 and under making up 2.4% of cases worldwide.[10][232]
Government sources in Germany and the UK estimate that 60–70% of the population will need to become infected before effective herd immunity can be achieved.[233][234][235]

Deaths


The crude mortality ratio (reported deaths divided by reported cases) is 3 to 4%, according to the World Health Organization, as of 6 March 2020.[236] The reported rate varies by country, age, and other health problems.[237]
The time from development of symptoms to death has been between 6 and 41 days, with the most common being 14 days.[10] By 21 March more than 11,400 deaths had been attributed to COVID-19.[238] Most of those who have died were elderly—about 80% of deaths were in those over 60, and 75% had pre-existing health conditions including cardiovascular diseases and diabetes.[239]
The first confirmed death was on 9 January 2020 in Wuhan.[240] The first death outside China occurred on 1 February in the Philippines,[241][242] and the first death outside Asia was in France on 14 February.[243] By 28 February, outside mainland China, more than a dozen deaths each were recorded in Iran, South Korea, and Italy.[244][245][246] By 13 March, over 40 countries and territories had reported deaths, on every continent except Antarctica.[247]


Diagrams

DIAGRAM - 01

=========================================================




                      DIAGRAM - 02



Total confirmed cases of COVID-19 per million people, 20 March 2020[255]



=====================================================================

    
                                                         DIAGRAM - 03



         Growth in total confirmed cases

====================================================

DIAGRAM - 04


Epidemic curve of COVID-19 by date of report





======================================================

                                                       DIAGRAM - 05
                           

Epidemic curve of COVID-19 by date of report


               ======================================================


                                                                      DIAGRAM - 06



Semi-log plot of daily new confirmed cases by region: Hubei Province, mainland China excluding Hubei, the rest of the world (ROW), and the world total[257][258]




=========================================================



                                                      DIAGRAM - 07

Semi-log plot of coronavirus daily deaths by region: Hubei Province, mainland China excluding Hubei, the rest of the world (ROW), and the world total[257][258]




====================================================================


                                                       DIAGRAM - 08

Semi-log plot of cases in some countries with high growth rates (post-China) with doubling times and three-day projections based on the exponential growth rates




=============================================================



Signs and symptoms

Symptom[256]%
Fever87.9%
Dry cough67.7%
Fatigue38.1%
Sputum production33.4%
Anosmia (loss of smell)[257]30-66%
Shortness of breath18.6%
Muscle pain or joint pain14.8%
Sore throat13.9%
Headache13.6%
Chills11.4%
Nausea or vomiting5.0%
Nasal congestion4.8%
Diarrhoea3.7%
Haemoptysis0.9%
Conjunctival congestion0.8%
                 
COVID-19 symptoms




Cause





Transmission



File:COVID19 in numbers- R0, the case fatality rate and why we need to flatten the curve.webm



The primary mode of transmission is via respiratory droplets that people exhale or cough.[266] This is thought to occur when people are in close contact, often during coughing or sneezing.[267][268] The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) concur that it seems to spread via these droplets, but "[t]here is not enough epidemiological information at this time [23 March] to determine how easily and sustainably this virus spreads between people."[6] The stability of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in the air and on various surfaces is believed to be comparable to that of other coronaviruses.[269][270][271] A single study of how long SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) remains infectious on various surfaces, "show[s] that when the virus is carried by the droplets released when someone coughs or sneezes, it remains viable, or able to still infect people, in aerosols for at least three hours."[272]

They also tested SARS-CoV-2 on plastic, stainless steel, copper, and cardboard, and found that although SARS-CoV-2 decayed exponentially over time in all five environments they tested, the virus was viable for infection for up to three days on plastic and stainless steel, for one day on cardboard, and for up to four hours on copper.[273][274][275]

A survey of research on the inactivation of other coronaviruses using various biocidal agents suggests that disinfecting surfaces contaminated with SARS-CoV-2 may also be achieved using similar solutions (within one minute of exposure on a stainless steel surface), including 62–71% ethanol, 50–100% isopropanol, 0.1% sodium hypochlorite, 0.5% hydrogen peroxide, and 0.2–7.5% povidone-iodinebenzalkonium chloride and chlorhexidine gluconate are less effective.[269]

The WHO has stated that the risk of spread from someone without symptoms is "very low". However, if someone has early symptoms and a mild cough, there is a risk of transmission.[276] An analysis of infections in Singapore and Tianjin, China revealed that coronavirus infections may be spread by people who have recently caught the virus and have not yet begun to show symptoms, unlike other coronaviruses such as SARS.[277][278]

Estimates of the basic reproduction number (the average number of people an infected person is likely to infect) range from 2.13[279] to 4.82.[280][281] This is similar to the measure typical of severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV).[282]




Virology


Illustration of SARSr-CoV virion



Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, first isolated from three people with pneumonia connected to the cluster of acute respiratory illness cases in Wuhan.[219] All features of the novel SARS-CoV-2 virus occur in related coronaviruses in nature.[280]
SARS-CoV-2 is closely related to the original SARS-CoV.[281] It is thought to have a zoonotic origin. Genetic analysis has revealed that the coronavirus genetically clusters with the genus Betacoronavirus, in subgenus Sarbecovirus (lineage B) together with two bat-derived strains. It is 96% identical at the whole genome level to other bat coronavirus samples (BatCov RaTG13).[252][282] In February 2020, Chinese researchers found that there is only one amino acid difference in certain parts of the genome sequences between the viruses from pangolins and those from humans, however, whole genome comparison to date found at most 92% of genetic material shared between pangolin coronavirus and SARS-CoV-2, which is insufficient to prove pangolins to be the intermediate host.[283]

Diagnosis



Infection by the virus can be provisionally diagnosed on the basis of symptoms, though confirmation is ultimately by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) of infected secretions (71% sensitivity) and CT imaging (98% sensitivity).[284]

Viral testing

The WHO has published several RNA testing protocols for SARS-CoV-2, with the first issued on 17 January.[285][286][287][288] Testing uses real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR).[289] The test can be done on respiratory or blood samples.[290] Results are generally available within a few hours to days.[291][292]
A person is considered at risk if they have travelled to an area with ongoing community transmission within the previous 14 days, or have had close contact with an infected person. Common key indicators include fever, coughing and shortness of breath. Other possible indicators include fatigue, myalgiaanorexiasputum production and sore throat.[293]

Imaging

Characteristic imaging features on radiographs and computed tomography have been described in a limited case series.[294] The Italian Radiological Society [it] is compiling an international online database of imaging findings for confirmed cases.[295] Due to overlap with other infections such as adenovirus, imaging without confirmation by PCR is of limited use in identifying COVID-19.[294] A larger[clarification needed] comparing chest CT results to PCR has suggested that though imaging is less specific for the infection, it is significantly faster and more sensitive, suggesting that it may be considered as a screening tool in epidemic areas.[296]

Prevention



Infographic by the United States CDC, describing how to stop the spread of germs.

Strategies for preventing transmission of the disease include overall good personal hygiene, hand washing, avoiding touching the eyes, nose or mouth with unwashed hands, coughing/sneezing into a tissue and putting the tissue directly into a dustbin. Those who may already have the infection have been advised to wear a surgical mask in public.[297][298][299] Social distancing measures are also recommended to prevent transmission.[300][301]
Many governments have restricted or advised against all non-essential travel to and from countries and areas affected by the outbreak.[302] However, the virus has reached the stage of community spread in large parts of the world. This means that the virus is spreading within communities whose members have not travelled to areas with widespread transmission.[citation needed]
Health care providers taking care of someone who may be infected are recommended to use standard precautions, contact precautions and airborne precautions with eye protection.[303]
Contact tracing is an important method for health authorities to determine the source of an infection and to prevent further transmission.[304] Misconceptions are circulating about how to prevent infection, for example: rinsing the nose and gargling with mouthwash are not effective.[305] As of 13 March 2020, there is no COVID-19 vaccine, though a number of organizations are working to develop one.[306]

Hand washing


Hand washing is recommended to prevent the spread of the disease. The CDC recommends that people wash hands often with soap and water for at least 20 seconds, especially after going to the toilet or when hands are visibly dirty; before eating; and after blowing one's nose, coughing, or sneezing. It further recommended using an alcohol-based hand sanitizer with at least 60% alcohol by volume when soap and water are not readily available.[297] The WHO advises people to avoid touching the eyes, nose, or mouth with unwashed hands.[298][307]

Respiratory hygiene

Health organizations recommended that people cover their mouth and nose with a bent elbow or a tissue when coughing or sneezing (the tissue should then be disposed of immediately).[298][308] Surgical masks are recommended for those who may be infected,[309][310][311] as wearing a mask can limit the volume and travel distance of expiratory droplets dispersed when talking, sneezing and coughing.[312] The WHO has issued instructions on when and how to use masks.[313]
Masks have also been recommended for use by those taking care of someone who may have the disease.[311] WHO has recommended the wearing of masks by healthy people only if they are at high risk, such as those who are caring for a person with COVID-19, although masks may help people avoid touching their faces.[311]
China has specifically recommended the use of disposable medical masks by healthy members of the public.[314][250][312][315] Hong Kong recommends wearing a surgical mask when taking public transport or staying in crowded places.[316] Thailand's health officials are encouraging people to make face masks at home out of cloth and wash them daily.[317] The Czech Republic banned going out in public without wearing a mask or covering one's nose and mouth.[318] Face masks have also been widely used by healthy people in Taiwan,[319][320] Japan,[321] South Korea,[322] Malaysia,[323] Singapore,[324][325] and Hong Kong.[326]

Social distancing




Social distancing includes infection control actions intended to slow the spread of disease by minimizing close contact between individuals. Methods include quarantines; travel restrictions; and the closing of schools, workplaces, stadiums, theatres, or shopping centres. Individuals may apply social distancing methods by staying at home, limiting travel, avoiding crowded areas, using no-contact greetings, and physically distancing themselves from others.[327][328] Many governments are now mandating or recommending social distancing in regions affected by the outbreak.[329][330] Allowed gathering size was swiftly reducing from 250 people (if there was no known COVID-19 spread in a region) to 50 people, and later to 10 people.[331] On 22 March 2020, Germany banned public gatherings of more than two people.[332]
Older adults and those with underlying medical conditions such as diabetesheart disease, respiratory disease, hypertension, and compromised immune systems face increased risk of serious illness and complications and have been advised by the US CDC to stay home as much as possible in areas of community outbreak.[333][334]


Self-isolation


Transmission of COVID depends on many factors, and the basic reproduction number can be lowered by engaging in outbreak prevention measures such as social distancing and self-isolation upon experiencing symptoms.


Self-isolation at home has been recommended for those diagnosed with COVID-19 and those who suspect they have been infected. Health agencies have issued detailed instructions for proper self-isolation.[335][336]

Additionally, many governments have mandated or recommended self-quarantine for entire populations living in affected areas.[337][338] The strongest self-quarantine instructions have been issued to those in high risk groups. Those who may have been exposed to someone with COVID-19 and those who have recently travelled to a country with widespread transmission have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days from the time of last possible exposure.[6][8][339]

Management


Outbreak


The goal of community mitigation, (1) delay outbreak peak (2) decompress peak burden on healthcare, known as flattening the curve (3) diminish overall cases[disputed ] and health impact.[331][332


There are a number of strategies in the control of an outbreak: containment, mitigation, and suppression. Containment is undertaken in the early stages of the outbreak and aims to trace and isolate those infected as well as other measures of infection control and vaccinations to stop the disease from spreading to the rest of the population. When it is no longer possible to contain the spread of the disease, efforts then move to the mitigation stage, when measures are taken to slow the spread and mitigate its effects on the health care system and society. A combination of both containment and mitigation measures may be undertaken at the same time.[333] Suppression requires more extreme measures so as to reverse the pandemic by reducing the basic reproduction number to less than 1.[334]

Part of managing an infectious disease outbreak is trying to decrease the epidemic peak, known as flattening the epidemic curve.[331] This decreases the risk of health services being overwhelmed and provides more time for vaccines and treatments to be developed.[331] Non-pharmaceutical interventions that may manage the outbreak include personal preventive measures, such as hand hygiene, wearing face-masks and self-quarantine; community measures aimed at physical distancing such as closing schools and cancelling mass gathering events; community engagement to encourage acceptance and participation in such interventions; as well as environmental measures such surface cleaning.[335]

More drastic actions aim at suppressing the outbreak were taken in China once the severity of the outbreak became apparent, such as quarantining entire cities affecting 60 million individuals in Hubei, and strict travel bans.[336] Other countries adopted a variety of measures aimed at limiting the spread of the virus. For example, South Korea introduced mass screening, localized quarantines, and issuing alerts on the movements of affected individuals. Singapore provided financial support for those infected who quarantine themselves and imposed large fines for those who failed to do so. Taiwan increased face-mask production and penalized hoarding of medical supplies.[337] Some countries require people to report flu-like symptoms to their doctor, especially if they have visited mainland China.[338]

Simulations for Great Britain and the US show that mitigation (slowing but not stopping epidemic spread), as well as suppression (reversing epidemic growth), has major challenges. Optimal mitigation policies might reduce peak healthcare demand by 2/3 and deaths by half, still resulting in hundreds of thousands of deaths and health systems being overwhelmed. Suppression can be preferred but need to be maintained until a vaccine becomes available (at least 18 months later) as transmission quickly rebounds when relaxed, while long-term intervention causes social and economic costs.[334]

Illness

There are no specific antiviral medications approved for COVID-19, but development efforts are underway, including testing of existing medications. Attempts to relieve the symptoms may include taking regular (over-the-counter) cold medications,[339] drinking fluids, and resting.[286] Depending on the severity, oxygen therapyintravenous fluids and breathing support may be required.[340] The use of steroids may worsen outcomes.[341] Several compounds, which were previously approved for treatment of other viral diseases, are being investigated.[342]

History


Cases by country plotted on a logarithmic scale

Patient zero is the term used to describe the first-ever case of a disease.[343] There have been various theories as to where the "patient zero" case may have originated.[343] The first known case of the novel coronavirus was traced back to 1 December 2019 in Wuhan, Hubei, China.[217] A later unconfirmed claim, citing Chinese government documents, suggests that the first victim was a 55-year-old man who fell ill on 17 November 2019.[344][under discussion] Within the next month, the number of coronavirus cases in Hubei gradually increased to a couple of hundred, before rapidly increasing in January 2020. On 31 December 2019, the virus had caused enough cases of unknown pneumonia to be reported to health authorities in Wuhan, the capital of Hubei province,[211] to trigger an investigation.[212] These were mostly linked to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, which also sold live animals; thus the virus is thought to have a zoonotic origin.[213]

During the early stages, the number of cases doubled approximately every seven and a half days.[345] In early and mid-January 2020, the virus spread to other Chinese provinces, helped by the Chinese New Year migration, with Wuhan being a transport hub and major rail interchange, and infections quickly spread throughout the country.[254] On 20 January, China reported nearly 140 new cases in one day, including two people in Beijing and one in Shenzhen.[346] Later official data shows that 6,174 people had already developed symptoms by 20 January 2020.[347]

On 30 January, the WHO declared the outbreak to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.[348] On 24 February, WHO director Tedros Adhanom warned that the virus could become a global pandemic because of the increasing number of cases outside China.[349]

On 11 March, the WHO officially declared the coronavirus outbreak to be a pandemic, following a period of sustained community-level transmission in multiple regions of the world.[5] On 13 March, the WHO declared Europe to be the new centre of the pandemic after the rate of new European cases surpassed that of regions of the world apart from China.[350] By 16 March 2020, the total number of cases reported around the world outside China had exceeded that of mainland China.[351] On 19 March 2020, China reported no new domestic cases (excluding cases re-imported from abroad) for the first time since the outbreak, while the total number of deaths in Italy surpassed that of China.[352]

As of 23 March 2020, over 368,000 cases have been reported worldwide; more than 16,300 people have died and over 101,000 have recovered.[2][3]

Domestic responses



hide
Coronavirus quarantines outside China
CountryPlaceState/ProvinceStart dateEnd dateLevel
Argentina2020-03-19[353]2020-03-31National
Australia2020-03-23[354]National
Austria2020-03-16[355]2020-04-13[356]National
Belgium2020-03-18[357]2020-04-05National
BrazilSanta Catarina2020-03-17[358]2020-03-31State
São Paulo2020-03-24[359]2020-04-07State
Colombia2020-03-25[360]2020-04-13National
Czech Republic2020-03-16[361]2020-03-24National
Denmark2020-03-11[362]National
El Salvador2020-03-12[363]2020-04-01National
FijiLautoka2020-03-20[364]City
France2020-03-17[365]2020-04-01National
GermanyBavaria2020-03-20[366]2020-04-03State
FreiburgBaden-Württemberg2020-03-21[367]2020-04-03City
Greece2020-03-23[368]2020-04-06[369]National
Honduras2020-03-17[370]2020-03-29National
Ireland2020-03-12[371]2020-03-29National
Italy2020-03-09[372]2020-04-03National
Lebanon2020-03-15[373]2020-03-29National
Malaysia2020-03-18[374]2020-03-31National
Morocco2020-03-19[375]National
PhilippinesLuzon2020-03-15[376]2020-04-14Island group
Poland2020-03-13[377]National
Spain2020-03-14[378]2020-04-11[379]National
Tunisia2020-03-22[380]National
United StatesCalifornia2020-03-19[381]2020-03-29State
Clark CountyNevada2020-03-20[382]2020-04-20County
Connecticut2020-03-23[383]2020-03-29State
Illinois2020-03-21[384]2020-04-07State
Massachusetts2020-03-24[385]2020-04-07State
Michigan2020-03-24[386]2020-04-14State
New York2020-03-20[387]2020-03-29State
Oregon2020-03-24[388]State
United Kingdom2020-03-23[389]2020-04-13National
Venezuela2020-03-17[390]National
Outbreak ongoing: Quarantine data as of March 24, 2020






































Chin

China

File:航拍武汉中心城区机动车禁行后道路:少有车辆踪影-Wg-8rMZAsY0.webm


The first person known to have fallen ill due to the new virus was traced back to 1 December 2019 in Wuhan.[220] Doctor Zhang Jixian observed a cluster of unknown pneumonia on 26 December, and her hospital informed Wuhan Jianghan CDC on 27 December.[490] A public notice on the outbreak was released by Wuhan Municipal Health Commission on 31 December.[491] WHO was informed of the outbreak on the same day.[214] At the same time these notifications were happening, doctors in Wuhan were being threatened by policy for sharing information about the outbreak.[492] Chinese National Health Commission initially said that they had no "clear evidence" of human-to-human transmissions.[493]

Temporary hospital for treating mild COVID-19 patients in Wuhan, converted from Tazihu Sports Centre. There were more than 10 temporary hospitals like this in Wuhan. Each of them could accommodate hundreds of mild patients. After these hospitals had come into operation, the epidemic in Wuhan eased.[494][495]



The Chinese Communist Party launched a radical campaign described by the Party general secretary Xi Jinping as a "people's war" to contain the spread of the virus.[496] In what has been described as "the largest quarantine in human history",[497] a quarantine was announced on 23 January stopping travel in and out of Wuhan,[498] which was extended to a total of 15 cities in Hubei, affecting a total of about 57 million people.[499] Private vehicle use was banned in the city.[500] Chinese New Year (25 January) celebrations were cancelled in many places.[501] The authorities also announced the construction of a temporary hospital, Huoshenshan Hospital, which was completed in 10 days, and 14 temporary hospitals were constructed in China in total.[502]

On 26 January, the Communist Party and the government instituted further measures to contain the COVID-19 outbreak, including health declarations for travellers and changes to national holidays.[503] The leading group decided to extend the Spring Festival holiday to contain the outbreak.[504] Universities and schools around the country were also closed.[505][506][507] The regions of Hong Kong and Macau instituted several measures, particularly in regard to schools and universities.[508] Remote working measures were instituted in several Chinese regions.[509] Travel restrictions were enacted.[509][510] Other provinces and cities outside Hubei imposed travel restrictions. Public transport was modified,[511][509] and museums throughout China were temporarily closed.[512][513] Control of movement of people was applied in many cities, and it has been estimated that about 760 million people (more than half the population) faced some form of outdoor restriction.[514]

After the outbreak entered its global phase in March, many Chinese students studying in Europe and the United States have returned home as the domestic daily new cases in China declined. Chinese authorities have taken strict measures to prevent the virus from "importing" from other countries. For example, Beijing has imposed a 14-day mandatory quarantine for all international travellers entering the city.[515]

The early response by the Wuhan authorities was criticized as prioritizing control of information that might be unfavourable for local officials over public safety, and the Chinese government was also criticized for cover-ups and downplaying the initial discovery and severity of the outbreak.[516] In early January 2020, Wuhan police summoned and "admonished" several doctors—including Li Wenliang, an ophthalmologist at Wuhan Central Hospital—for "spreading rumours" likening the disease to SARS.[517] Li later died because of the virus.[518] Later in March, Wuhan police apologized to Li's family after National Supervisory Commission admitted the conduct of local officials was inadequate and acknowledged the whistleblower's effort on raising public awareness.[519][520] Observers have also blamed the institutional censorship that left the citizens and senior officials with inaccurate information on the outbreak and "contributed to a prolonged period of inaction that allowed the virus to spread".[521] Some experts doubted the accuracy of the number of cases reported by the Chinese government, which repeatedly changed how it counted coronavirus cases, while others say it wasn’t likely a deliberate attempt to manipulate the data.[522][523][524] The Chinese government has also been accused of rejecting help from the US CDC and the WHO.[525]

Although criticisms have been levelled at the aggressive response of China to control the outbreak,[526] China's actions have also been praised by some foreign leaders such as US President Donald Trump, and Russian president Vladimir Putin.[527][528] Trump later reversed himself, saying "I wish they could have told us earlier about what was going on inside," adding that China "was very secretive, and that's unfortunate".[529] The director of WHO Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus congratulated Chinese government "for the extraordinary measures it has taken to contain the outbreak",[530] and a later WHO report described China's response as "perhaps the most ambitious, agile and aggressive disease containment effort in history".[531] According to a media report on 16 March, the economy in China was very hard hit in the first two months of 2020 due to the measures taken by the government to curtail virus spread, and retail sales plunged 20.5%.[532] Per media reports, on 23 March mainland China has gone five days with only one case transmitted domestically, in this instance via a traveller returning to Guangzhou from Istanbul.[533][534][535]

On 24 March 2020, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang reported that spread of domestically transmitted epidemic has been basically blocked and the outbreak has been controlled in China.[536]

South Korea

COVID-19 was confirmed to have spread to South Korea on 20 January 2020 from China. There was a large increase in cases on 20 February,[538] potentially attributable to a gathering in Daegu of a new religious movement known as the Shincheonji Church of Jesus.[538][539][540]
Shincheonji devotees visiting Daegu from Wuhan were suspected to be the origin of the outbreak.[541][542] As of 22 February, among 9,336 followers of the church, 1,261 or about 13% reported symptoms.[543]
South Korea declared the highest level of alert on 23 February 2020.[544] On 28 February, more than 2,000 confirmed cases were reported in Korea,[545] rising to 3,150 on 29 February.[546] All South Korean military bases were on quarantine after tests confirmed that three soldiers were positive for the virus.[541] Airline schedules were also affected and therefore they were changed.[547][548]
South Korea introduced what was considered the largest and best-organised program in the world to screen the population for the virus, and isolate any infected people as well as tracing and quarantining those who contacted them.[549][550] Screening methods included a drive-thru testing for the virus with the results available the next day.[551] It is considered to be a success in controlling the outbreak despite not quarantining entire cities.[549][552]
The South Korean society was initially polarised with President Moon Jae-in's response to the crisis. Many Koreans signed petitions either calling for the impeachment of Moon over what they claimed is the government's mishandling of the outbreak, or praising his response.[553] On 23 March, it was reported that South Korea had the lowest one-day case total in four weeks.The country of South Korea's different approach to the outbreak includes having 20,000 people tested every day for coronavirus.[554]

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